1. SNL

1. Maribor — 23 points from 11 played (6 won, 5 drawn, 0 lost), 21 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +12. Form, oldest first: W D W D W.
2. Koper — 19 points from 11 played (5 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W W L W D.
3. Bravo — 18 points from 11 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W D W W L.
4. Nafta — 16 points from 11 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 5 lost), 18 scored, 16 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L W W L W.
5. Olimpija Ljubljana — 15 points from 11 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 13 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: D W W L D.
6. Celje — 15 points from 10 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 12 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W L L D W.
7. Aluminij — 13 points from 11 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 16 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: L D W D L.
8. Brinje-Grosuplje — 11 points from 11 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 15 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W L L W L.
9. Mura — 10 points from 11 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 5 lost), 13 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: L D L D D.
10. Radomlje — 6 points from 10 played (1 won, 3 drawn, 6 lost), 12 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: D L L L D.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-11, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 10 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Nafta — chance of finishing top down 0.4, to 1.3%; bottom-three risk down 11.2, to 15.8%.
• Maribor — chance of finishing top up 7.3, to 52.3%; bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 0.1%.
• Brinje-Grosuplje — bottom-three risk up 4.8, to 64.3%.
• Bravo — chance of finishing top down 4.2, to 5.1%; bottom-three risk up 1.5, to 5.3%.
• Olimpija Ljubljana — chance of finishing top down 0.4, to 3.7%; bottom-three risk up 2.4, to 8.1%.

Season projection

Every one of the 126 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Relegation - Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-11, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Maribor — projected to finish on 68 points, from 23 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 52.3% (up 7.3), finishes top four 94.4%, bottom one 0%.
2. Celje — projected to finish on 61.9 points, from 15 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 20.3% (down 1.2), finishes top four 81.5%, bottom one 0.1%.
3. Koper — projected to finish on 61 points, from 19 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.7% (down 1.3), finishes top four 80.5%, bottom one 0%.
4. Bravo — projected to finish on 55.1 points, from 18 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.1% (down 4.2), finishes top four 53.5%, bottom one 0.4%.
5. Olimpija Ljubljana — projected to finish on 52.8 points, from 15 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.7% (down 0.4), finishes top four 43.9%, bottom one 0.5%.
6. Nafta — projected to finish on 49.4 points, from 16 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.3% (down 0.4), finishes top four 27.3%, bottom one 1.5%.
7. Aluminij — projected to finish on 44.3 points, from 13 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.6% (up 0.3), finishes top four 12.9%, bottom one 4.5%.
8. Brinje-Grosuplje — projected to finish on 38.4 points, from 11 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 4.1%, bottom one 15.2%.
9. Mura — projected to finish on 34.7 points, from 10 after 11 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.2%, bottom one 29.1%.
10. Radomlje — projected to finish on 31.3 points, from 6 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.8%, bottom one 48.8%.