27 September 2026, 20:00 UTC

Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir Botola Pro prediction & result

El Harti Stadium, Marrakech
Referee: M. Jamlaoui
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Kawkab Marrakech 2-3 Hassania Agadir.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Kawkab Marrakech, 33% draw, 28% Hassania Agadir — fair odds of 2.56, 3.03 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kawkab Marrakech at 39% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kawkab Marrakech0%Draw3%Hassania Agadir97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
⚽H. Moumadiassist: I. Riahi
⚽Y. Raiani (pen)assist: Y. Raiani
10'
⚽S. Essallami
33'
🔁A. Haimoudout: H. Rafa
62'
🔁Y. Zghoudiout: J. Rhabra
62'
⚽A. Maamouriassist: S. Essallami
63'
H. Rafa
67'
68'
⚽I. Riahi (pen)
70'
🔁A. Azriout: M. Akoumi
70'
🔁H. Moumadiout: S. Benyachou
70'
🔁I. Riahiout: A. Ait Brayim
72'
J. Tachtach
🔁Y. Raianiout: M. Dadsi
79'
🔁S. Essallamiout: M. El Kayssoumi
79'
79'
🔁J. Tachtachout: A. Qassaq
M. Dadsi
83'
85'
⚽S. Benyachouassist: A. Ait Brayim
90'
🔁A. Bouchetaout: A. Qasmi
🔁O. Mahrousout: K. Tamrani
90+2'

Line-ups

Kawkab Marrakech
Coach: Hicham Dmiai
Hassania Agadir
Coach: Bouziane Ben Aribi

Botola Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Kawkab Marrakech320154+16
1Hassania Agadir4211118+37

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Kawkab Marrakech vs Hassania Agadir

  • 27 September 2026Kawkab Marrakech 2–3 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
  • 5 July 2026Hassania Agadir 1–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
  • 7 March 2026Kawkab Marrakech 2–1 Hassania AgadirBotola Pro
  • 29 August 2025Hassania Agadir 0–2 Kawkab MarrakechFriendlies Clubs
  • 27 March 2024Kawkab Marrakech 1–2 Hassania AgadirCup
  • 3 March 2021Kawkab Marrakech 1–1 Hassania AgadirCup
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.