Oțelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Oțelul 2-3 Corvinul Hunedoara.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Oțelul, 33% draw, 27% Corvinul Hunedoara — fair odds of 2.50, 3.03 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Oțelul at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Oțelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Line-ups
- 1C. Dur-BozoancăG
- 5H. SyllaD
- 3G. ChristopoulosD
- 6P. IacobD
- 28Miguel SilvaD
- 10AndrézinhoM
- 39T. LunguM
- 24D. BordunM
- 27Pedro NunoM
- 7João PauloM
- 9PatrickF
- 11Zé TurboF
- 44D. ZatorD
- 12D. PaharnicuG
- 20R. OlteanuM
- 15Mehmet TitizF
- 16D. NeicuD
- 13M. ContraG
- 8Rafael BritoM
- 30M. FrunzăM
- 21C. SanduG
- 13F. IacobD
- 15M. IvančevićD
- 30A. ManolacheD
- 10A. NeacșaD
- 23I. CărărușM
- 20Sérgio RibeiroM
- 99E. YeboahM
- 22A. FábryM
- 19N. PîrvulescuM
- 9R. EspinosaF
- 70R. DeaconuM
- 12A. FrânculescuG
- 32A. GillardF
- 14M. HayatuF
- 97D. HrezdacM
- 18F. IlieD
- 29E. OkoroF
- 11Roger JunioM
- 33S DrîngăG
Form going into Oțelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Oțelul
- L0-3away to Universitatea Cluj14 September 2026
- L0-1Rapid6 September 2026
- D2-2away to FC Voluntari28 August 2026
Corvinul Hunedoara
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti6 September 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Oțelul | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Oțelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara
- 21 September 2026Oțelul 2–3 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga I
- 15 May 2024Corvinul Hunedoara 2–2 OțelulCupa României
Leading scorers: Oțelul and Corvinul Hunedoara
Oțelul
GoalsAssists
- Patrick40
Corvinul Hunedoara
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.