On the model's scale they rate 0.57 in attack and 1.54 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): below the division's average at both ends. Next they travel to Leones del Norte in the Liga Pro on 18 October 2026, a match the model gives them 26%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Emelec vs Leones del Norte
Emelec travel to Leones del Norte at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra on 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 26% Emelec, 29% draw and 45% Leones del Norte, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 0.98 expected goals for Emelec against 1.48. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Full preview and model analysis for Emelec vs Leones del Norte
Recent meetings with Leones del Norte
- 30 August 2026Emelec 2–1 Leones del NorteLiga Pro
- 3 May 2026Leones del Norte 2–0 EmelecLiga Pro
- 8 October 2025Leones del Norte 0–0 EmelecCopa Ecuador
The last 3 meetings between the two, most recent first.