On the model's scale they rate 0.64 in attack and 1.61 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against A-League averages of 0.57 and 1.74: above the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 3rd-best defence. Next they travel to Wellington Phoenix in the A-League on 18 October 2026, a match the model gives them 47%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory travel to Wellington Phoenix at Sky Stadium, Wellington on 18 October 2026, 02:00 UTC. The model makes it 47% Melbourne Victory, 24% draw and 29% Wellington Phoenix, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 2.01 expected goals for Melbourne Victory against 1.45. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Full preview and model analysis for Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix
Recent meetings with Wellington Phoenix
- 5 April 2026Melbourne Victory 0–1 Wellington PhoenixA-League
- 6 February 2026Wellington Phoenix 2–3 Melbourne VictoryA-League
- 29 December 2025Melbourne Victory 5–1 Wellington PhoenixA-League
- 12 April 2025Wellington Phoenix 2–3 Melbourne VictoryA-League
- 14 February 2025Melbourne Victory 1–0 Wellington PhoenixA-League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.