On the model's scale they rate 0.55 in attack and 2.02 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against A-League averages of 0.57 and 1.74: about average in attack, below it at the back. Among the 12 rated sides in the division that is the 7th-best attack and the 12th-best defence. Next they host Melbourne Victory in the A-League on 18 October 2026, a match the model gives them 29%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix host Melbourne Victory at Sky Stadium, Wellington on 18 October 2026, 02:00 UTC. The model makes it 29% Wellington Phoenix, 24% draw and 47% Melbourne Victory, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.45 expected goals for Wellington Phoenix against 2.01. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Full preview and model analysis for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory
Recent meetings with Melbourne Victory
- 5 April 2026Melbourne Victory 0–1 Wellington PhoenixA-League
- 6 February 2026Wellington Phoenix 2–3 Melbourne VictoryA-League
- 29 December 2025Melbourne Victory 5–1 Wellington PhoenixA-League
- 12 April 2025Wellington Phoenix 2–3 Melbourne VictoryA-League
- 14 February 2025Melbourne Victory 1–0 Wellington PhoenixA-League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.