Championship Group
- Independiente del Valle — 77 points from 31 played (25 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 75 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference +41. Form, oldest first: D L W W W.
- Macara — 57 points from 32 played (17 won, 6 drawn, 9 lost), 44 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W L W W W.
- LDU de Quito — 52 points from 32 played (15 won, 7 drawn, 10 lost), 35 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: D W D W W.
- Universidad Catolica Quito — 51 points from 32 played (14 won, 9 drawn, 9 lost), 52 scored, 30 conceded, goal difference +22. Form, oldest first: D W W L L.
- Aucas — 50 points from 32 played (14 won, 8 drawn, 10 lost), 35 scored, 32 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: D D D L L.
- Barcelona SC — 44 points from 31 played (11 won, 11 drawn, 9 lost), 33 scored, 27 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: L W D D L.
Relegation Group
- Mushuc Runa SC — 39 points from 32 played (9 won, 12 drawn, 11 lost), 38 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: D D L D L.
- Deportivo Cuenca — 38 points from 32 played (10 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost), 26 scored, 38 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: W L D D D.
- Orense SC — 34 points from 32 played (9 won, 7 drawn, 16 lost), 37 scored, 49 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: L W L L D.
- Tecnico Universitario — 33 points from 32 played (10 won, 3 drawn, 19 lost), 29 scored, 44 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: L L W D L.
- Delfin SC — 32 points from 32 played (8 won, 8 drawn, 16 lost), 23 scored, 34 conceded, goal difference -11. Form, oldest first: W L D D W.
- Manta FC — 27 points from 32 played (7 won, 6 drawn, 19 lost), 20 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -23. Form, oldest first: L L D W W.
What moved
Nothing, since 2026-10-13. Every club's title and bottom-three chance
came out of the last round where it went in: the results changed the table without changing
what the model expects from the rest of the season.
Season projection
Every one of the 25 matches this competition has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-10-13, the last update whose numbers changed.
Championship Group
- Independiente del Valle — projected to finish on 92.4 points, from 77 after 31 played. Wins it 100%.
- Macara — projected to finish on 68.5 points, from 57 after 32 played. Wins it 0%.
- Universidad Catolica Quito — projected to finish on 62.4 points, from 51 after 32 played. Wins it 0%.
- LDU de Quito — projected to finish on 62 points, from 52 after 32 played. Wins it 0%.
- Aucas — projected to finish on 58.8 points, from 50 after 32 played. Wins it 0%.
- Barcelona SC — projected to finish on 56.4 points, from 44 after 31 played. Wins it 0%.
Relegation Group
- Mushuc Runa SC — projected to finish on 52.6 points, from 39 after 32 played. Wins it 65.8%.
- Deportivo Cuenca — projected to finish on 49.3 points, from 38 after 32 played. Wins it 20.7%.
- Orense SC — projected to finish on 45.6 points, from 34 after 32 played. Wins it 8.5%.
- Delfin SC — projected to finish on 43 points, from 32 after 32 played. Wins it 2.4%.
- Tecnico Universitario — projected to finish on 42.8 points, from 33 after 32 played. Wins it 2.6%.
- Manta FC — projected to finish on 35.9 points, from 27 after 32 played. Wins it 0%.
Top scorers
- E. Mero (Guayaquil City FC) — 13 goals, 4 assists.
- F. Posse (Macara) — 13 goals, 5 assists.
- R. Carrillo (Emelec) — 12 goals, 3 assists.
- J. Fajardo (Universidad Catolica Quito) — 11 goals, 3 assists.
- A. Campana (Macara) — 10 goals, 3 assists.
- Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín (Libertad) — 10 goals, 1 assist.
- Juan Luis Anangonó León (Leones del Norte) — 10 goals.
- D. Reasco (Independiente del Valle) — 9 goals, 4 assists.
- C. González (Independiente del Valle) — 9 goals.
- M. Alonso (Universidad Catolica Quito) — 8 goals, 4 assists.
- M. Perelló (Independiente del Valle) — 8 goals, 3 assists.
- D. Benedetto (Barcelona SC) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
- A. Herrera (Orense SC) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
- D. Dorregaray (Guayaquil City FC) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
- F. Ayunta (Delfin SC) — 8 goals, 1 assist.
- L. Klimowicz (Emelec) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
- Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez (Independiente del Valle) — 6 goals, 2 assists.
- M. Estrada (LDU de Quito) — 6 goals, 1 assist.
- A. Preciado (Aucas) — 6 goals, 3 assists.
- B. Palacios (Universidad Catolica Quito) — 6 goals, 1 assist.