1. Lig

1. Kayserispor — 25 points from 10 played (8 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 22 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +17. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. Iğdır FK — 20 points from 10 played (6 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W W D W D.
3. Bursaspor — 19 points from 9 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost), 17 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +8. Form, oldest first: W D W L W.
4. Batman Petrolspor — 19 points from 10 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 3 lost), 20 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: W L L L W.
5. Mardin 1969 — 18 points from 10 played (5 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 12 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L L W W.
6. Keçiörengücü — 17 points from 10 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 1 lost), 19 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W D D W D.
7. Sarıyer — 15 points from 10 played (4 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L D W D L.
8. Antalyaspor — 15 points from 10 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost), 15 scored, 17 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L W W W L.
9. Bandırmaspor — 14 points from 10 played (3 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 15 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: W D L W D.
10. Fatih Karagümrük — 13 points from 10 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 13 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L D W D L.
11. Sivasspor — 12 points from 10 played (2 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: W D D W D.
12. Muğlaspor — 12 points from 9 played (2 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost), 9 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D D D D L.
13. Bodrum FK — 11 points from 10 played (2 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 11 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: L W D L W.
14. Pendikspor — 10 points from 10 played (2 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 12 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: W D D L L.
15. Manisa F.K. — 9 points from 9 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 4 lost), 14 scored, 15 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: L D L L D.
16. Esenler Erokspor — 8 points from 9 played (1 won, 5 drawn, 3 lost), 5 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: L D L W D.
17. Ümraniyespor — 7 points from 9 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L L L W D.
18. Vanspor FK — 7 points from 10 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 5 lost), 10 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: D D L L W.
19. İstanbulspor — 5 points from 10 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 7 lost), 9 scored, 24 conceded, goal difference -15. Form, oldest first: L L W L L.
20. Boluspor — 1 points from 9 played (0 won, 1 drawn, 8 lost), 3 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference -18. Form, oldest first: L L D L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-15, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 20 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Bursaspor — chance of finishing top up 16, to 46.2%.
• Kayserispor — chance of finishing top down 8.2, to 16.8%.
• Muğlaspor — chance of finishing top down 0.7, to 0.1%; bottom-three risk up 7.9, to 12.5%.
• Keçiörengücü — chance of finishing top down 2.7, to 9.8%; bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 0.2%.
• Mardin 1969 — chance of finishing top up 2.6, to 8.9%; bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 0%.

Season projection

Every one of the 281 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Quarter-finals, Semi-finals, Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-15, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Bursaspor — projected to finish on 74.1 points, from 19 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 46.2% (up 16), finishes top two 67.6%, bottom four 0%.
2. Kayserispor — projected to finish on 67.7 points, from 25 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.8% (down 8.2), finishes top two 36.5%, bottom four 0.1%.
3. Keçiörengücü — projected to finish on 64 points, from 17 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 9.8% (down 2.7), finishes top two 22.9%, bottom four 0.2%.
4. Mardin 1969 — projected to finish on 64 points, from 18 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 8.9% (up 2.6), finishes top two 20.7%, bottom four 0.2%.
5. Iğdır FK — projected to finish on 62.2 points, from 20 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.8% (down 0.9), finishes top two 14.5%, bottom four 0.4%.
6. Antalyaspor — projected to finish on 58.8 points, from 15 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.8% (down 0.2), finishes top two 8.5%, bottom four 1.5%.
7. Fatih Karagümrük — projected to finish on 58.5 points, from 13 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 3.1% (down 2.3), finishes top two 8.8%, bottom four 1.7%.
8. Bandırmaspor — projected to finish on 56.8 points, from 14 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 1.8% (down 1.4), finishes top two 5.8%, bottom four 1.6%.
9. Batman Petrolspor — projected to finish on 56.4 points, from 19 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2.9% (down 0.5), finishes top two 7.1%, bottom four 3.6%.
10. Bodrum FK — projected to finish on 55 points, from 11 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.9% (down 0.4), finishes top two 3.6%, bottom four 3.3%.
11. Sivasspor — projected to finish on 50.1 points, from 12 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4% (down 0.3), finishes top two 1.4%, bottom four 10.1%.
12. Esenler Erokspor — projected to finish on 49.6 points, from 8 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.4% (down 0.3), finishes top two 1.1%, bottom four 10.9%.
13. Sarıyer — projected to finish on 48.7 points, from 15 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2% (down 0.3), finishes top two 0.7%, bottom four 12.1%.
14. Muğlaspor — projected to finish on 45.3 points, from 12 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 0.7), finishes top two 0.4%, bottom four 22.9%.
15. Manisa F.K. — projected to finish on 44.9 points, from 9 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1% (down 0.1), finishes top two 0.4%, bottom four 24.8%.
16. Ümraniyespor — projected to finish on 41.7 points, from 7 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top two 0.1%, bottom four 37.7%.
17. Pendikspor — projected to finish on 41.1 points, from 10 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0% (down 0.1), finishes top two 0.1%, bottom four 41.6%.
18. Vanspor FK — projected to finish on 36.1 points, from 7 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 64.5%.
19. İstanbulspor — projected to finish on 35.7 points, from 5 after 10 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 65.4%.
20. Boluspor — projected to finish on 23.4 points, from 1 after 9 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 97.3%.

Top scorers

1. K. Ịheanachọ (Bursaspor) — 12 goals, 2 assists.
2. T. Seferi (Kayserispor) — 9 goals, 1 assist.
3. R. Manaj (Sivasspor) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
4. D. Moreno (Kayserispor) — 7 goals.
5. M. Diouf (Keçiörengücü) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
6. C. Sylla (Manisa F.K.) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
7. A. Pešić (Fatih Karagümrük) — 5 goals, 2 assists.
8. J. Anziani (Manisa F.K.) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
9. Y. Uzunoglu (Muğlaspor) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
10. J. Bardhi (Vanspor FK) — 4 goals.
11. G. Bruno (Bandırmaspor) — 4 goals.
12. B. Kör (Sarıyer) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
13. F. Ezeh (Keçiörengücü) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
14. A. Badji (Bandırmaspor) — 3 goals, 3 assists.
15. S. van de Streek (Antalyaspor) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
16. B. Keser (Kayserispor) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
17. Alieu Cham (İstanbulspor) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
18. Thuram (Pendikspor) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
19. T. Teklić (Mardin 1969) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
20. O. Kayode (Mardin 1969) — 3 goals, 1 assist.