- Shakhtar Donetsk — 21 points from 8 played (7 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost), 18 scored, 4 conceded, goal difference +14. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
- Polessya — 19 points from 8 played (6 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 17 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W W W W D.
- Dynamo Kyiv — 16 points from 7 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 10 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +5. Form, oldest first: L D W W W.
- FC Kharkiv — 15 points from 7 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
- Karpaty — 14 points from 8 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 2 lost), 15 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference +9. Form, oldest first: D L W D L.
- Zorya Luhansk — 11 points from 8 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 10 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L D D L W.
- LNZ Cherkasy — 11 points from 8 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: L D W L W.
- Veres Rivne — 9 points from 8 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 3 lost), 6 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W D D W L.
- Kolos Kovalivka — 8 points from 7 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 9 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: D D L W W.
- Bukovyna — 8 points from 8 played (1 won, 5 drawn, 2 lost), 6 scored, 8 conceded, goal difference -2. Form, oldest first: W D D L D.
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — 8 points from 8 played (2 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 7 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W D L L L.
- Livyi Bereh — 7 points from 7 played (1 won, 4 drawn, 2 lost), 5 scored, 6 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D D L W L.
- Chornomorets — 5 points from 7 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 4 lost), 4 scored, 9 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
- Kryvbas KR — 5 points from 6 played (1 won, 2 drawn, 3 lost), 7 scored, 10 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: W D L D L.
- Obolon'-Brovar — 4 points from 7 played (0 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost), 2 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: D D L L D.
- Kudrivka — 2 points from 8 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost), 6 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.
What moved
Measured against 2026-10-15, the last update whose numbers changed —
not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried
forward rather than restamped. 6 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.
Season projection
Every one of the 179 matches this phase has left,
played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each
side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a
title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those
depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-15, the last update whose numbers changed.
- Shakhtar Donetsk — projected to finish on 72.4 points, from 21 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 80.4%, finishes top four 99.7%, bottom four 0%.
- Polessya — projected to finish on 60.2 points, from 19 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 7.6%, finishes top four 83.2%, bottom four 0%.
- Dynamo Kyiv — projected to finish on 58.2 points, from 16 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 5.7%, finishes top four 75.3%, bottom four 0%.
- FC Kharkiv — projected to finish on 57.6 points, from 15 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 4.2%, finishes top four 72.7%, bottom four 0%.
- Karpaty — projected to finish on 53.6 points, from 14 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 2%, finishes top four 51.8%, bottom four 0.1%.
- Zorya Luhansk — projected to finish on 42.2 points, from 11 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 5.5%, bottom four 3.7%.
- LNZ Cherkasy — projected to finish on 42.2 points, from 11 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 6.6%, bottom four 4.2%.
- Bukovyna — projected to finish on 36.6 points, from 8 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.2%, bottom four 15.5%.
- Kolos Kovalivka — projected to finish on 36.3 points, from 8 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.4%, bottom four 17%.
- Kryvbas KR — projected to finish on 34.5 points, from 5 after 6 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.5%, bottom four 26.9%.
- Livyi Bereh — projected to finish on 33.5 points, from 7 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom four 27%.
- Veres Rivne — projected to finish on 33.4 points, from 9 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom four 29.5%.
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — projected to finish on 30.5 points, from 8 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.2%, bottom four 45.3%.
- Chornomorets — projected to finish on 29.8 points, from 5 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0.1%, bottom four 48.2%.
- Obolon'-Brovar — projected to finish on 21.2 points, from 4 after 7 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 91.2%.
- Kudrivka — projected to finish on 19.7 points, from 2 after 8 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom four 92%.
Top scorers
- B. Zabërgja (FC Kharkiv) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- C. Paraco (FC Kharkiv) — 2 goals.
- V. Sydun (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) — 2 goals.
- D. Ndukwe (Kolos Kovalivka) — 2 goals.
- M. Ponomarenko (Dynamo Kyiv) — 2 goals.
- N. Vorobchak (Livyi Bereh) — 2 goals.
- P. Itodo (FC Kharkiv) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
- K. Popov (Chornomorets) — 2 goals.
- Talles (LNZ Cherkasy) — 2 goals.
- Joaquinete (Karpaty) — 2 goals.
- A. Kozak (Epitsentr Dunayivtsi) — 1 goal, 3 assists.
- A. Herbert (Kryvbas KR) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
- Wendell (Livyi Bereh) — 1 goal, 2 assists.
- N. Rusyn (Karpaty) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- Y. Shevchenko (Kryvbas KR) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- R. Nawi (Kryvbas KR) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- A. Matkevych (Obolon'-Brovar) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- S. Sukhanov (Obolon'-Brovar) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- Pedrinho (Shakhtar Donetsk) — 1 goal, 1 assist.
- Artem Machelyuk (Zorya Luhansk) — 1 goal.
Premier League (Ukraine): how many points for the top four?
Chance by final points total · 15 October 2026
52 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 56 in nine out of ten.
60 pts99%
57 pts95%
54 pts78%
51 pts48%
48 pts18%
45 pts4%
050%100%
Final positions, not qualification: that depends on the competition's rules.
Premier League (Ukraine): how many points to stay up?
Chance by final points total · 15 October 2026
29 points has been enough in half of the simulations, 32 in nine out of ten.
35 pts~100%
33 pts97%
31 pts86%
29 pts64%
27 pts34%
25 pts13%
23 pts3%
050%100%
The bottom four are in the relegation zone.