Banfield
vs
Argentinos Juniors
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Banfield 0–1 Argentinos Juniors
The model makes it 32% Banfield, 30% draw, 38% Argentinos Juniors — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Banfield 1.08, Argentinos Juniors 1.23.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to Argentinos Juniors: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Banfield are 11th on 13 points from 12 games; Argentinos Juniors are 3rd on 22 points from 12 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group B.
- Banfield are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Tigre.
- Argentinos Juniors have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Platense.
- Last 6 meetings: Argentinos Juniors 6 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 6 April 2026, ended Argentinos Juniors 3–2 Banfield.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Argentinos Juniors at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors
Banfield
- W2-1away to Tigre10 October 2026
- D1-1Rosario Central6 October 2026
- D2-2away to Gimnasia La Plata19 September 2026
- D1-1Barracas Central14 September 2026
- L1-3away to Aldosivi5 September 2026
Argentinos Juniors
- D1-1away to Platense11 October 2026
- W2-1Tigre4 October 2026
- L0-1away to Rosario Central20 September 2026
- D1-1Gimnasia La Plata13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Barracas Central7 September 2026
What these results say
- Banfield scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Banfield conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Banfield.
- Argentinos Juniors failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Argentinos Juniors had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Banfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 3 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Banfield
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 22% today
Argentinos Juniors
Chance to finish top of the Clausura Group A
From our Liga Profesional Argentina season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Banfield vs Argentinos Juniors
- 6 April 2026Argentinos Juniors 3–2 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21 September 2025Argentinos Juniors 3–0 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 March 2025Banfield 1–2 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 12 November 2024Argentinos Juniors 1–0 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 10 February 2024Argentinos Juniors 4–2 BanfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 16 September 2023Banfield 0–1 Argentinos JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional
The two sides
Banfield carry a model rating of 6.56 against 6.77 for Argentinos Juniors. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.08 goals for Banfield and 1.23 for Argentinos Juniors. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Banfield rate 0.84 in attack and 1.52 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Argentinos Juniors rate 0.88 and 1.04.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Argentinos Juniors the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.08 expected goals for Banfield against 1.23 for Argentinos Juniors. Banfield's attack/defence rating is 0.84/1.52 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.88/1.04 for Argentinos Juniors.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Banfield at home · Argentinos Juniors away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Banfield 27, Argentinos Juniors 30.
Banfield score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Argentinos Juniors have let in 3 there.
Argentinos Juniors score most often in the 61–75 minute window (8 goals); Banfield have let in 6 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Banfield
- vs Lanus24 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 31%
- at Independiente Rivadavia3 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 26%
- vs Atletico Tucuman8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 42%
Argentinos Juniors
- vs Independiente Rivadavia27 Oct · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 51%
- at Atletico Tucuman3 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 36%
- vs Huracan8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 44%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.