26 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Difaa EL Jadida vs CODM Meknès Botola Pro prediction & result

El Jadida
Referee: M. Sourdy
Full time2 – 6

Final score: Difaa EL Jadida 2-6 CODM Meknès.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Difaa EL Jadida, 30% draw, 29% CODM Meknès — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Difaa EL Jadida at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Difaa EL Jadida0%Draw1%CODM Meknès99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
⚽H. Elowasti (pen)
22'
⚽Z. Bahrou (pen)
B. Diarra
24'
26'
⚽H. El Janati
35'
⚽W. Onanaassist: H. El Janati
🔁B. Diarraout: A. Riyane
41'
🔁Y. El Ouatkiout: A. Idrissi
41'
A. El Khafi
45'
46'
🔁H. El Janatiout: M. Zrida
🔁A. Ennakoussout: M. Mouchtanim
46'
🔁A. El Khafiout: A. Mostakime
46'
47'
⚽H. Elowastiassist: A. Berdad
48'
S. El Morsli
⚽S. Abaazizassist: M. Mouchtanim
62'
62'
🔁W. Onanaout: B. Gaddarine
62'
🔁Z. Bahrouout: J. Guede
65'
L. Naji
🔁P. Pessoaout: Y. Michte
68'
72'
🔁L. Najiout: T. Razko
⚽M. Mouchtanim (pen)
73'
80'
⚽T. Razkoassist: S. El Morsli
86'
🔁H. Elowastiout: Daoui Oussama
90+3'
J. Paixao

Line-ups

CODM Meknès
Coach: Mohamed Aziz

Botola Pro table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Difaa EL Jadida3102710-33
7CODM Meknès311163+34

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Difaa EL Jadida vs CODM Meknès

  • 26 September 2026Difaa EL Jadida 2–6 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
  • 25 April 2026CODM Meknès 0–1 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
  • 14 September 2025Difaa EL Jadida 0–0 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
  • 16 March 2025Difaa EL Jadida 2–1 CODM MeknèsBotola Pro
  • 8 November 2024CODM Meknès 3–0 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
  • 3 March 2024CODM Meknès 1–1 Difaa EL JadidaBotola 2
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.