Bastia sit 12th in the Ligue 3 on 11 points from 9 matches, having scored 7 and conceded 11. On the model's scale they rate 0.55 in attack and 1.58 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Ligue 3 averages of 0.50 and 2.01: about average in attack, above it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats, most recently drawing with Orleans 1-1 at home. That is 1.22 points a match, scoring 0.78 and conceding 1.22 per game across 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. That leaves them 10 points behind La Roche VF at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 8th-best attack and the 2nd-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Concarneau in the Ligue 3 on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 37%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | +7 | DDWWW | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | +12 | DWWLW | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | +4 | DWWDW | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | LWDWW | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | +9 | WDWDW | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | WDDDW | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | +5 | WWLWL | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy Foot | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | +2 | DLWLW | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville Lusitanos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | DLDLL | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | WWDLW | 12 |
| 11 | Gobelins | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | DLDWL | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | LWDLD | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | DWDDL | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | DLLDD | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | DLLWL | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | DLLWL | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | LLDDL | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | LDLLL | 4 |
- Promotion to Ligue 2
- Relegation
Bastia sit 12 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- D1-1Orleans1 October 2026
- L0-1away to Gobelins26 September 2026
- D1-1Cannes17 September 2026
- W1-0away to Bourg-en-bresse 0112 September 2026
- L0-3Amiens5 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Bastia vs Concarneau
Bastia travel to Concarneau at Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau on 17 October 2026, 12:45 UTC. The model makes it 37% Bastia, 29% draw and 34% Concarneau, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.25 expected goals for Bastia against 1.18. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Full preview and model analysis for Bastia vs Concarneau
Recent meetings with Concarneau
- 23 April 2024Bastia 2–0 ConcarneauLigue 2
- 5 August 2023Concarneau 0–0 BastiaLigue 2
- 5 March 2021Bastia 1–1 ConcarneauLigue 3
- 2 October 2020Concarneau 1–1 BastiaLigue 3
- 5 January 2019SC Bastia 4–4 ConcarneauCoupe de France
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.