Thionville Lusitanos sit 9th in the Ligue 3 on 12 points from 9 matches, having scored 14 and conceded 14 — level on goal difference. On the model's scale they rate 0.57 in attack and 2.36 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Ligue 3 averages of 0.50 and 2.01: dangerous going forward and vulnerable at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 draws and 3 defeats, most recently losing to Le Puy Foot 0-1 away. That is 1.33 points a match, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.56 per game across 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 9 points behind La Roche VF at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 7th-best attack and the 16th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host Versailles in the Ligue 3 on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 41%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche VF | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | +7 | DDWWW | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | +12 | DWWLW | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | +4 | DWWDW | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | LWDWW | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | +9 | WDWDW | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | +7 | WDDDW | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | +5 | WWLWL | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy Foot | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | +2 | DLWLW | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville Lusitanos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | DLDLL | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | WWDLW | 12 |
| 11 | Gobelins | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | DLDWL | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | LWDLD | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | DWDDL | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | DLLDD | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | DLLWL | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | DLLWL | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | LLDDL | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | LDLLL | 4 |
- Promotion to Ligue 2
- Relegation
Thionville Lusitanos sit 9 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1away to Le Puy Foot3 October 2026
- L1-2La Roche VF26 September 2026
- D1-1away to Fleury 9119 September 2026
- L0-4Rouen12 September 2026
- D2-2away to Concarneau5 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles
Thionville Lusitanos host Versailles at Stadium Plaine on 17 October 2026, 12:45 UTC. The model makes it 41% Thionville Lusitanos, 25% draw and 34% Versailles, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.84 expected goals for Thionville Lusitanos against 1.65. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 68%.
Full preview and model analysis for Thionville Lusitanos vs Versailles