Neftchi Fergana sit 7th in the AFC Champions League Elite on 3 points from 2 matches, having scored 2 and conceded 3. On the model's scale they rate 0.55 in attack and 1.85 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better): below the division's average at both ends. Across their last 2 league matches they have 1 win and 1 defeat, most recently losing to Al-Nassr 1-3 away. That leaves them 3 points behind Al Ain at the top, in a table of 16. Among the 16 rated sides in the division that is the 13th-best attack and the 15th-best defence. Next they host Al-Ittihad in the AFC Champions League Elite on 26 October 2026, a match the model gives them 25%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | WW | 6 |
| 2 | Esteghlal FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | WW | 6 |
| 3 | Al-Hilal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | WW | 6 |
| 4 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | WW | 6 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | DW | 4 |
| 6 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | WD | 4 |
| 7 | Neftchi Fergana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | WL | 3 |
| 8 | Al-Nassr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | LW | 3 |
| 9 | Pakhtakor | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | DD | 2 |
| 10 | Al Shamal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | DD | 2 |
| 11 | Al-Ittihad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | DL | 1 |
| 12 | Tractor Sazi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | LD | 1 |
| 13 | Al-Gharafa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | LL | 0 |
| 14 | Al-Wasl FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | LL | 0 |
| 15 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | LL | 0 |
| 16 | Al Sadd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | LL | 0 |
Neftchi Fergana sit 7 of 16, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-3away to Al-Nassr12 October 2026
- W1-0Al Quwa Al Jawiya14 September 2026
Last 2 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Neftchi Fergana vs Al-Ittihad
Neftchi Fergana host Al-Ittihad at Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana on 26 October 2026, 13:45 UTC. The model makes it 25% Neftchi Fergana, 25% draw and 50% Al-Ittihad, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.18 expected goals for Neftchi Fergana against 1.92. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Full preview and model analysis for Neftchi Fergana vs Al-Ittihad