Penafiel sit 4th in the Segunda Liga on 13 points from 7 matches, having scored 14 and conceded 7. On the model's scale they rate 0.79 in attack and 1.53 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Segunda Liga averages of 0.67 and 1.52: above the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 4 wins and 1 defeat, most recently losing to AVS 1-2 at home. That is 1.86 points a match, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.00 per game across 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. That leaves them 4 points behind Lusitânia Lourosa at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 1st-best attack and the 9th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Farense in the Segunda Liga on 24 October 2026, a match the model gives them 28%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | +7 | DWWWD | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | +4 | LWWLW | 15 |
| 3 | Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | DLDWW | 14 |
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | +7 | WWWWL | 13 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | DLLWW | 13 |
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | WLLLW | 12 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | +2 | LLWWW | 12 |
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | DWWDL | 11 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | WWWDL | 10 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | LWWDL | 10 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | DLLLW | 10 |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | DWLDW | 9 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | WLLDW | 7 |
| 14 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | DWLLL | 6 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | DLWDL | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | DWLDL | 5 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | DLWLD | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | LLLLL | 1 |
- Promotion to Liga Portugal
- Relegation
Penafiel sit 4 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L1-2AVS9 October 2026
- W2-1away to Felgueiras 193212 September 2026
- W4-1Academica5 September 2026
- W3-0away to FC Porto B30 August 2026
- W2-0Sporting CP B23 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Penafiel vs Farense
Penafiel travel to Farense at Faro on 24 October 2026, 17:00 UTC. The model makes it 28% Penafiel, 27% draw and 45% Farense, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.21 expected goals for Penafiel against 1.67. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Full preview and model analysis for Penafiel vs Farense
Recent meetings with Farense
- 7 March 2026Penafiel 1–1 FarenseSegunda Liga
- 26 October 2025Farense 0–0 PenafielSegunda Liga
- 22 April 2023Farense 2–1 PenafielSegunda Liga
- 5 November 2022Penafiel 0–2 FarenseSegunda Liga
- 19 March 2022Penafiel 1–3 FarenseSegunda Liga
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.