Red Bull Salzburg sit 7th in the UEFA Europa League on 3 points from 1 match, having scored 1 and conceded 0. The model rates their attack at 0.84× the league average and their defence at 1.60× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw, most recently beating Levski Sofia 1-0 away. That is level on points with Sparta Praha at the top, in a table of 36, with only goal difference between them. Among the 36 rated sides in the division that is the 20th-best attack and the 35th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2026, a match the model gives them 44%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 7 | Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Beşiktaş | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Ferencvarosi TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Lillestrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | NEC Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | Union St. Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Plzen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 35 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
Red Bull Salzburg sit 7 of 36, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W1-0away to Levski Sofia17 September 2026
- W3-0Mjallby AIF27 August 2026
- W1-0away to Mjallby AIF20 August 2026
- D3-3away to Pafos13 August 2026
- W1-0Pafos6 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg host Sturm Graz at Red Bull Arena, Salzburg on 20 September 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 44% Red Bull Salzburg, 27% draw and 29% Sturm Graz, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.84 expected goals for Red Bull Salzburg against 1.25. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Full preview and model analysis for Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz
Recent meetings with Sturm Graz
- 3 May 2026Red Bull Salzburg 1–1 Sturm GrazBundesliga
- 20 March 2026Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 9 November 2025Sturm Graz 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 20 September 2025Red Bull Salzburg 0–2 Sturm GrazBundesliga
- 9 May 2025Sturm Graz 4–2 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.