Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Maghreb Fès 0-0 Raja Casablanca.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Maghreb Fès, 32% draw, 30% Raja Casablanca — fair odds of 2.63, 3.13 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Maghreb Fès at 38% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca
Line-ups
Form going into Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca
Maghreb Fès
- W2-1away to Hassania Agadir3 October 2026
- W2-1CR Khemis Zemamra27 September 2026
Raja Casablanca
- W1-0CR Khemis Zemamra3 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maghreb Fès | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 6 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Maghreb Fès vs Raja Casablanca
- 8 October 2026Maghreb Fès 0–0 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
- 6 May 2026Maghreb Fès 0–2 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
- 3 October 2025Raja Casablanca 1–1 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
- 28 February 2025Raja Casablanca 0–0 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro
- 25 October 2024Maghreb Fès 0–0 Raja CasablancaBotola Pro
- 14 February 2024Raja Casablanca 1–0 Maghreb FèsBotola Pro