Stockport County vs Peterborough League One prediction & result
Final score: Stockport County 1-0 Peterborough.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Stockport County, 25% draw, 22% Peterborough — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Stockport County at 53% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Stockport County vs Peterborough
Line-ups
- 26L. Ashby-HammondG
- 24Kyron Silveria GordonD
- 6E. O'ConnellD
- 5E. PyeD
- 15R. GloverM
- 4L. BateM
- 10O. NorwoodM
- 23B. OsbornM
- 7J. DiamondF
- 19K. WoottonF
- 16H. WoodF
- 20J. AdigunM
- 8C. CampsM
- 2J. Dacres-CogleyD
- 30Ethan EnnisF
- 18L. FioriniM
- 25M. JobeD
- 22M. MandronF
- 1A. BassG
- 2C. JohnstonD
- 18Lucca MendonçaD
- 12Joshua FeeneyD
- 14Harley MillsD
- 16B. WoodsM
- 4L. KellyM
- 19Bolu ShofowokeM
- 45Harry AshfieldM
- 11O. EdwardsM
- 9H. LeonardF
- 20C. Conn-ClarkeM
- 33James DornellyD
- 7Harrison JonesM
- 3E. WeirD
- 10Ethan WilliamsF
- 27D. OrmerodF
- 23C. Andeng NdiG
Form going into Stockport County vs Peterborough
Stockport County
- D0-0away to Sheffield Wednesday19 September 2026
- L3-4Leicester12 September 2026
- W4-0away to Wigan5 September 2026
Peterborough
- L0-2Doncaster19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Milton Keynes Dons12 September 2026
- L1-2Sheffield Wednesday5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 16 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Stockport County vs Peterborough
- 26 September 2026Stockport County 1–0 PeterboroughLeague One
- 25 April 2026Stockport County 3–1 PeterboroughLeague One
- 20 November 2025Peterborough 3–0 Stockport CountyLeague One
- 18 April 2025Peterborough 1–1 Stockport CountyLeague One
- 20 December 2024Stockport County 2–1 PeterboroughLeague One
Leading scorers: Stockport County and Peterborough
Stockport County
GoalsAssists
- K. Wootton71
- J. Diamond42
Peterborough
No player in League One's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.