League One predictions & fixtures

Saturday 17 October — 11 matches

11:30 UTC Milton Keynes Dons vs Luton — model 28% / 25% / 47%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.57 · 4.00 · 2.13. Edge: Luton
11:30 UTC Peterborough vs Burton Albion — model 38% / 28% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.57 · 2.94. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Leicester vs Doncaster — model 53% / 26% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.89 · 3.85 · 4.76. Edge: Leicester
14:00 UTC Wigan vs Reading — model 25% / 28% / 47%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.00 · 3.57 · 2.13. One-sided: Reading
14:00 UTC Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon — model 50% / 28% / 22%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.57 · 4.55. Edge: Sheffield Wednesday
14:00 UTC Barnsley vs Cambridge United — model 31% / 27% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.70 · 2.38. Edge: Cambridge United
14:00 UTC Bradford vs Stevenage — model 38% / 35% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 2.86 · 3.70. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Plymouth vs Huddersfield — model 44% / 26% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.85 · 3.33. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Wycombe vs Notts County — model 44% / 27% / 29%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.70 · 3.45. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Leyton Orient vs Blackpool — model 41% / 28% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.57 · 3.23. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Stockport County vs Bromley — model 68% / 18% / 14%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.47 · 5.56 · 7.14. One-sided: Stockport County

Tuesday 20 October — 11 matches

18:45 UTC Huddersfield vs Peterborough — model 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.85 · 4.00 · 4.76. Edge: Huddersfield
18:45 UTC Burton Albion vs Bradford — model 33% / 33% / 34%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.03 · 3.03 · 2.94. Tight game · draw in reach
18:45 UTC AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town — model 31% / 30% / 39%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.23 · 3.33 · 2.56. Edge: Mansfield Town
18:45 UTC Oxford United vs Wigan — model 56% / 27% / 17%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.79 · 3.70 · 5.88. One-sided: Oxford United
18:45 UTC Doncaster vs Stockport County — model 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.57 · 2.38. Edge: Stockport County
18:45 UTC Blackpool vs Milton Keynes Dons — model 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.00 · 3.85 · 4.17. Edge: Blackpool
18:45 UTC Luton vs Barnsley — model 56% / 23% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.79 · 4.35 · 4.76. Edge: Luton
18:45 UTC Stevenage vs Plymouth — model 35% / 29% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.86 · 3.45 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
18:45 UTC Cambridge United vs Wycombe — model 48% / 25% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.08 · 4.00 · 3.70. Evenly matched
18:45 UTC Notts County vs Sheffield Wednesday — model 34% / 30% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.94 · 3.33 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
18:45 UTC Bromley vs Leicester — model 21% / 23% / 56%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.76 · 4.35 · 1.79. One-sided: Leicester

Wednesday 21 October — 1 match

19:00 UTC Reading vs Leyton Orient — model 52% / 25% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.92 · 4.00 · 4.35. Edge: Reading

Saturday 24 October — 12 matches

11:30 UTC Huddersfield vs Wigan — model 55% / 26% / 19%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.82 · 3.85 · 5.26. Edge: Huddersfield
11:30 UTC Luton vs Leicester — model 38% / 26% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.85 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Reading vs Barnsley — model 60% / 22% / 18%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.67 · 4.55 · 5.56. Edge: Reading
14:00 UTC Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient — model 40% / 29% / 31%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.45 · 3.23. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe — model 34% / 28% / 38%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.94 · 3.57 · 2.63. Edge: Wycombe
14:00 UTC Oxford United vs Bradford — model 41% / 33% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.44 · 3.03 · 3.85. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday — model 34% / 30% / 36%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.94 · 3.33 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Blackpool vs Mansfield Town — model 38% / 28% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.57 · 2.94. Evenly matched
14:00 UTC Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons — model 51% / 28% / 21%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.96 · 3.57 · 4.76. Edge: Stevenage
14:00 UTC Cambridge United vs Plymouth — model 38% / 27% / 35%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.63 · 3.70 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
14:00 UTC Notts County vs Stockport County — model 30% / 28% / 42%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.33 · 3.57 · 2.38. Edge: Stockport County
14:00 UTC Bromley vs Peterborough — model 34% / 26% / 40%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 3.85 · 2.50. Edge: Peterborough

Tuesday 27 October — 2 matches

19:45 UTC Leicester vs Wigan — model 57% / 26% / 17%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.75 · 3.85 · 5.88. One-sided: Leicester
19:45 UTC Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13. Evenly matched

Last round: the model's hits and misses

10 October: the model called the result of 8 of 12 matches, 3 of them to the exact score.

Notts County 1–2 Oxford United — the model said 30% / 30% / 40%, most likely 0-1: result correct.
Plymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon — the model said 58% / 24% / 18%, most likely 2-0: result correct.
Bradford 0–0 Leyton Orient — the model said 44% / 31% / 25%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Cambridge United 1–0 Blackpool — the model said 46% / 26% / 28%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Doncaster 1–0 Burton Albion — the model said 39% / 28% / 33%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
Huddersfield 2–2 Sheffield Wednesday — the model said 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Leicester 1–3 Peterborough — the model said 58% / 24% / 18%, most likely 2-0: result missed.
Mansfield Town 2–1 Bromley — the model said 59% / 22% / 19%, most likely 2-1: exact scoreline.
Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 Reading — the model said 33% / 27% / 40%, most likely 1-2: result correct.
Stevenage 1–0 Wigan — the model said 47% / 31% / 22%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
Stockport County 3–1 Barnsley — the model said 58% / 23% / 19%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
Wycombe 1–4 Luton — the model said 43% / 24% / 33%, most likely 2-1: result missed.