Plymouth
vs
Huddersfield
League One prediction
Our model says: Plymouth 2–1 Huddersfield
The model makes it 44% Plymouth, 26% draw, 30% Huddersfield — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Plymouth 1.77, Huddersfield 1.37.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 61%, under 2.5: 39%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Plymouth are top on 19 points from 10 games; Huddersfield are 4th on 16 points from 9 games — League One.
- Plymouth have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.
- Huddersfield have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Sheffield Wednesday.
- Last 5 meetings: Plymouth 3 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 21 March 2026, ended Plymouth 3–1 Huddersfield.
More League One predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Plymouth vs Huddersfield
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Plymouth at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Plymouth vs Huddersfield
Plymouth
- W2-1AFC Wimbledon10 October 2026
- W2-0away to Leyton Orient3 October 2026
- L0-1Burton Albion26 September 2026
- W4-2away to Blackpool19 September 2026
- W3-0Barnsley12 September 2026
Huddersfield
- D2-2Sheffield Wednesday10 October 2026
- W3-1away to Burton Albion3 October 2026
- L1-2away to Bromley19 September 2026
- D0-0away to Mansfield Town12 September 2026
- D1-1Notts County5 September 2026
What these results say
- Plymouth won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Plymouth scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Huddersfield conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 19 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Plymouth
Chance to finish in the top four · 53% today
Huddersfield
Chance to finish in the top four · 36% today
From our League One season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Plymouth vs Huddersfield
- 21 March 2026Plymouth 3–1 HuddersfieldLeague One
- 8 November 2025Huddersfield 3–1 PlymouthLeague One
- 13 January 2024Huddersfield 1–1 PlymouthChampionship
- 5 August 2023Plymouth 3–1 HuddersfieldChampionship
- 9 January 2021Huddersfield 2–3 PlymouthFA Cup
Leading scorers: Plymouth and Huddersfield
Plymouth
GoalsAssists
- A. Pepple40
Huddersfield
GoalsAssists
- J. Taylor61
- D. Sanches Fernandes44
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Plymouth carry a model rating of 6.42 against 6.39 for Huddersfield. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.77 goals for Plymouth and 1.37 for Huddersfield. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Plymouth rate 0.70 in attack and 1.67 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Huddersfield rate 0.66 and 1.66.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Plymouth a 17.2% chance of the title and Huddersfield 9.7%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Plymouth the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.77 expected goals for Plymouth against 1.37 for Huddersfield. Plymouth's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.67 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.66 for Huddersfield.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Plymouth at home · Huddersfield away
League matches only, League One, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All League One matches this season: Plymouth 10, Huddersfield 9.
Plymouth score most often in the 46–60 minute window (6 goals); Huddersfield have let in 1 there.
Huddersfield score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Plymouth have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Plymouth
- at Stevenage20 Oct · League Onewin 36%
- at Cambridge United24 Oct · League Onewin 35%
- vs Reading31 Oct · League Onewin 43%
- at Sheffield Wednesday14 Nov · League Onewin 36%
- vs Peterborough21 Nov · League Onewin 56%
Huddersfield
- vs Peterborough20 Oct · League Onewin 54%
- vs Wigan24 Oct · League Onewin 55%
- at Bradford31 Oct · League Onewin 31%
- vs Luton3 Nov · League Onewin 45%
- at Wycombe14 Nov · League Onewin 40%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.