Stockport County
vs
Bromley
League One prediction
Our model says: Stockport County 2–1 Bromley
The model makes it 68% Stockport County, 18% draw, 14% Bromley — fair odds of 1.47, 5.56 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Stockport County 2.79, Bromley 1.03.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, under 2.5: 27%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Stockport County are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Stockport County are 3rd on 16 points from 9 games; Bromley are 21st on 8 points from 8 games — League One.
- Stockport County are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 3-1 win at home to Barnsley.
- Bromley have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Mansfield Town.
- Last 6 meetings: Stockport County 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 15 February 2022, ended Bromley 1–3 Stockport County.
More League One predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Stockport County vs Bromley
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Stockport County at 68% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 321 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.1%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Stockport County vs Bromley
Stockport County
- W3-1Barnsley10 October 2026
- W1-0Peterborough26 September 2026
- D0-0away to Sheffield Wednesday19 September 2026
- L3-4Leicester12 September 2026
- W4-0away to Wigan5 September 2026
Bromley
- L1-2away to Mansfield Town10 October 2026
- W2-1Huddersfield19 September 2026
- D2-2away to Blackpool12 September 2026
- L0-2AFC Wimbledon7 September 2026
- L0-5Leyton Orient1 September 2026
What these results say
- Stockport County scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bromley conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Bromley failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Bromley had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 16 |
| 21 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Stockport County
Chance to finish in the top four · 49% today
Bromley
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 58% today
From our League One season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Stockport County vs Bromley
- 15 February 2022Bromley 1–3 Stockport CountyNational League
- 13 November 2021Stockport County 1–1 BromleyNational League
- 5 April 2021Stockport County 0–0 BromleyNational League
- 5 December 2020Bromley 0–2 Stockport CountyNational League
- 15 February 2020Stockport County 1–0 BromleyNational League
- 29 October 2019Bromley 2–2 Stockport CountyNational League
Leading scorers: Stockport County and Bromley
Stockport County
GoalsAssists
- K. Wootton71
- J. Diamond42
Bromley
GoalsAssists
- V. Adeboyejo40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Stockport County carry a model rating of 6.42 against 6.03 for Bromley. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.79 goals for Stockport County and 1.03 for Bromley. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Stockport County rate 0.70 in attack and 1.65 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Bromley rate 0.50 and 2.62.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Stockport County a 14.4% chance of the title and Bromley 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,819 correct results out of 3,801 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Stockport County the highest probability at 68%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.79 expected goals for Stockport County against 1.03 for Bromley. Stockport County's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.65 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.5/2.62 for Bromley.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Stockport County at home · Bromley away
League matches only, League One, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All League One matches this season: Stockport County 9, Bromley 8.
Stockport County score most often in the 16–30 minute window (6 goals); Bromley have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Stockport County
- at Doncaster20 Oct · League Onewin 42%
- at Notts County24 Oct · League Onewin 42%
- at Oxford United27 Oct · League Onewin 30%
- vs AFC Wimbledon31 Oct · League Onewin 58%
- vs Reading14 Nov · League Onewin 43%
Bromley
- vs Leicester20 Oct · League Onewin 21%
- vs Peterborough24 Oct · League Onewin 34%
- at Wigan31 Oct · League Onewin 27%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.