Cambridge United vs Blackpool League One prediction & result
Final score: Cambridge United 1-0 Blackpool.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Cambridge United, 26% draw, 28% Blackpool — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cambridge United at 46% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cambridge United vs Blackpool
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1J. EastwoodG
- 15Cathal Séan Heffernan AndrewsD
- 6K. WattsD
- 22Z. BradshawD
- 2L. BennettM
- 4D. BallM
- 17P. MpanzuM
- 7Isaac HeathM
- 10B. KnightM
- 11S. KaikaiM
- 14G. YahyaiF
- 9L. AppéréF
- 44Raees Bangura-WilliamsM
- 5P. BauerD
- 29S. CurtisD
- 13G. BreezeG
- 19S. LaveryF
- 8O. MoxonM
- 1B. Peacock-FarrellG
- 28J. WilliamsD
- 4O. CaseyD
- 3Z. AshworthD
- 26Finley MunroeD
- 10G. HoneymanM
- 11J. BowlerM
- 17Karoy AndersonM
- 8A. MorganM
- 14T. BloxhamF
- 12J. YatesF
- 18D. TaylorF
- 21I. NiskanenM
- 2A. LyonsD
- 15H. CoulsonD
- 7L. ClarksonM
- 19D. CharlesF
- 6J. BrownM
Form going into Cambridge United vs Blackpool
Cambridge United
- D1-1AFC Wimbledon26 September 2026
- D1-1away to Oxford United19 September 2026
- W2-1Reading12 September 2026
- D2-2away to Burton Albion5 September 2026
Blackpool
- L2-4Plymouth19 September 2026
- D2-2Bromley12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Reading5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Barnsley2 September 2026
What these results say
- Cambridge United went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Cambridge United scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Cambridge United conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Blackpool did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Blackpool scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Blackpool conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cambridge United | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cambridge United vs Blackpool
- 10 October 2026Cambridge United 1–0 BlackpoolLeague One
- 11 March 2025Blackpool 2–1 Cambridge UnitedLeague One
- 24 August 2024Cambridge United 4–4 BlackpoolLeague One
- 6 April 2024Blackpool 1–0 Cambridge UnitedLeague One
- 16 December 2023Cambridge United 2–1 BlackpoolLeague One
- 14 January 2017Cambridge United 0–0 BlackpoolLeague Two
Leading scorers: Cambridge United and Blackpool
Cambridge United
GoalsAssists
- B. Knight31
Blackpool
No player in League One's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.