FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Minsk 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% FC Minsk, 24% draw, 24% Torpedo Zhodino — fair odds of 1.92, 4.17 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Belarusian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Minsk at 52% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino
Line-ups
- 30A. GutorG
- 88G. AbdulD
- 4R. KhadarkevichD
- 3A. SokolD
- 19K. KuchinskiyM
- 13I. AleksievichM
- 29I. DubinetsM
- 15V. YatskevichM
- 7H. GomisF
- 9M. DieyeF
- 80A. KsenofontovF
- 22A. MakasF
- 10G. ZherdevM
- 8A. MigdalenokM
- 24S. MatusevichM
- 23A. TurichM
- 6F. AbenaM
- 79I. SviridenkoD
- 33K. MalitskiyD
- 2V. DikhtievskiyD
- 25T. YurasovG
- 3Yevhen ChagovetsD
- 13A. ZaleskiyD
- 96V. MelkoD
- 68D. ZhulpaM
- 7A. BykovM
- 30V. PobudeyM
- 6K. PremudrovM
- 28D. YusovM
- 89A. FrantsuzovF
- 11A. LomovitskiyF
- 4V. ManaevD
- 47V. NalivaykoF
- 90N. MatusevichF
- 14M. LadutkoM
- 99M. MaslennikovG
- 20G. MartjanovD
- 27M. GaevoyM
- 9G. PetrosyanF
- 10T. SharkovskiyM
Form going into FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino
FC Minsk
- L0-2away to Belshina18 September 2026
- W1-0Slavia Mozyr11 September 2026
- W3-0away to Naftan6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Bate Borisov30 August 2026
Torpedo Zhodino
- L0-6away to FC Vitebsk20 September 2026
- L0-1away to Neman12 September 2026
- L1-2FC Gomel5 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Minsk scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 29 | +1 | 34 |
| 9 | Torpedo Zhodino | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino
- 23 May 2026Torpedo Zhodino 3–0 FC MinskPremier League
- 2 November 2025Torpedo Zhodino 0–1 FC MinskPremier League
- 14 June 2025FC Minsk 1–5 Torpedo ZhodinoPremier League
- 23 March 2025Torpedo Zhodino 2–0 FC MinskFriendlies Clubs
- 27 January 2025Torpedo Zhodino 1–0 FC MinskFriendlies Clubs
- 20 September 2024Torpedo Zhodino 2–2 FC MinskPremier League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.