Neman vs Baranovichi Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Neman 3-0 Baranovichi.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Neman, 26% draw, 20% Baranovichi — fair odds of 1.85, 3.85 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Belarusian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Neman at 54% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Neman vs Baranovichi
Line-ups
- 16N. MatysyukG
- 55D. GirsD
- 14S. JimohD
- 20I. SadovnichiyD
- 8Y. PanteaD
- 10D. LisakovichM
- 47M. KozlovM
- 15O. EvdokimovM
- 9S. PushnyakovM
- 33D. SpătaruM
- 88P. SavitskiyF
- 19A. DaynekoM
- 18M. KravtsovF
- 1A. MalievskiyG
- 6A. NazarenkoM
- 32Y. PavlyukovetsM
- 7A. RatkovićF
- 17A. SuchkovM
- 4A. VasiljevD
- 24A. YakimovM
- 12D. ShapkoG
- 97T. TkachevD
- 4V. KarpenyaD
- 19A. BruyD
- 33Kirill MuzychenkoD
- 88Z. GitselevM
- 9E. LapunM
- 10F. LebedevM
- 96V. PotorochaM
- 22M. BondarenkoM
- 77M. ArtyukhF
- 8V. BalbukhM
- 93A. DresmanisG
- 5V. FedotovD
- 2S. KendyshD
- 29S. PenchukM
- 34A. PetrenkoM
- 17M. ShevchenkoM
- 45Ersultan TorekulF
- 6Alibi TuzakbaevM
Form going into Neman vs Baranovichi
Neman
- W2-1away to FC Isloch Minsk R.19 September 2026
- W1-0Torpedo Zhodino12 September 2026
- D2-2away to Belshina6 September 2026
Baranovichi
- L0-2FC Gomel20 September 2026
- D0-0away to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk12 September 2026
- W2-1FC Dnepr Mogilev6 September 2026
- W1-0away to Dinamo Minsk29 August 2026
What these results say
- 3 of these 4 matches for Baranovichi had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Neman | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 20 | +11 | 43 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Neman vs Baranovichi
- 24 May 2026Baranovichi 1–2 NemanPremier League
- 7 March 2026Neman 0–0 BaranovichiFriendlies Clubs
- 28 June 2023Baranovichi 0–2 NemanCoppa
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.