Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Bate Borisov 2-1 Slavia Mozyr.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Bate Borisov, 31% draw, 33% Slavia Mozyr — fair odds of 2.78, 3.23 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Belarusian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bate Borisov at 36% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr
Line-ups
- 35A. SkopetsG
- 88P. DubovskiyD
- 6H. MoussakhanianD
- 28I. MikhnyukD
- 23N. BochkoM
- 52E. KressM
- 7V. AngbanM
- 25N. NeskoromnyM
- 17Y. KovalevF
- 37E. PuertoF
- 26V. VaraksaF
- 16D. SokolG
- 5M. SakutaD
- 47A. SakhonchikM
- 10E. RusakovM
- 13Y. KhramtsevichM
- 30T. GagloevM
- 18P. KolosovskiyM
- 21M. TitovM
- 42A. ZhurinD
- 16E. AbramovichG
- 88D. YashinD
- 18N. MelnikovD
- 4I. RashchenyaD
- 3Ricky NgatchouD
- 49A. DzhigeroM
- 6Y. KuznetsovM
- 21E. ShevchenkoM
- 11A. AntilevskiyM
- 44T. LutsevichF
- 17K. ChernookF
- 9O. BatyshchevM
- 7N. RomanovF
- 2A. ShemrukD
- 27Pavel ChikidaD
- 19A. DerzhinskiyM
- 14D. FedorenkoM
- 20I. VerenichF
- 30V. LikhtinM
- 23V. IgnatjevG
Form going into Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr
Bate Borisov
- L0-2away to Dinamo Minsk19 September 2026
- D2-2Naftan13 September 2026
- L0-1away to Dinamo Brest7 September 2026
Slavia Mozyr
- L0-1Naftan19 September 2026
- L0-1away to FC Minsk11 September 2026
- W3-0FC Vitebsk4 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bate Borisov | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 21 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 25 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr
- 24 May 2026Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Bate BorisovPremier League
- 29 April 2026Bate Borisov 2–0 Slavia MozyrCoppa
- 15 April 2026Slavia Mozyr 0–1 Bate BorisovCoppa
- 9 November 2025Bate Borisov 1–1 Slavia MozyrPremier League
- 20 June 2025Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Bate BorisovPremier League
- 5 October 2024Slavia Mozyr 2–3 Bate BorisovPremier League
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.