Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Veres Rivne 0-3 Shakhtar Donetsk.
Before kick-off the model made it 16% Veres Rivne, 24% draw, 60% Shakhtar Donetsk — fair odds of 6.25, 4.17 and 1.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Ukrainian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Shakhtar Donetsk at 60% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Line-ups
- 91V. GorokhG
- 17M. ProtasevychD
- 4K. CipotD
- 3S. VovchenkoD
- 2M. SmiyanD
- 19André GonçalvesM
- 14I. KharatinM
- 44D. ChecherM
- 77V. SharayM
- 7Fabrício YanF
- 88R. BaranF
- 30L. KhokhashviliM
- 27S. MigutskyiF
- 6David NiyoM
- 25I. SanotskyiF
- 53Andrey VictorD
- 1Pavlo StefanyukG
- 55Anton VydrychF
- 20Alagie WallyF
- 11L. PombaM
- 31D. RiznykG
- 17Vinícius TobiasD
- 5V. BondarD
- 22M. MatvienkoD
- 13PedrinhoD
- 8D. KryskivM
- 30Alisson SantanaM
- 10PedrinhoM
- 6Marlon GomesM
- 11NewerttonM
- 9Kauã EliasF
- 77G. MendozaM
- 28A. MatturroD
- 20O. KaravaevM
- 25Gabriel CarvalhoF
- 37Lucas FerreiraM
- 48Denys TvardovskyiG
- 24V. TsukanovM
- 14IsaqueM
- 49Luca MeirellesF
Form going into Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
- W2-1Kudrivka3 October 2026
- D1-1away to Karpaty20 September 2026
- D1-1Zorya Luhansk6 September 2026
- W1-0away to LNZ Cherkasy30 August 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk
- W3-0LNZ Cherkasy20 September 2026
- W2-0Chornomorets14 September 2026
- W2-1away to Karpaty5 September 2026
- L0-2Polessya29 August 2026
What these results say
- Veres Rivne went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Veres Rivne scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Veres Rivne conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Shakhtar Donetsk won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Shakhtar Donetsk scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk
- 27 February 2026Shakhtar Donetsk 1–0 Veres RivnePremier League
- 17 August 2025Veres Rivne 0–2 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
- 6 April 2025Shakhtar Donetsk 3–0 Veres RivnePremier League
- 27 September 2024Veres Rivne 1–1 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
- 8 December 2023Shakhtar Donetsk 2–0 Veres RivnePremier League
- 26 September 2023Veres Rivne 0–3 Shakhtar DonetskCup
Leading scorers: Veres Rivne and Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Shakhtar Donetsk
GoalsAssists
- Pedrinho11
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.