Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0-2 Dinamo Bucuresti.
Before kick-off the model made it 25% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, 31% draw, 44% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 4.00, 3.23 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Bucuresti at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 91D. LazarG
- 2CascardoD
- 82D. VîrtejD
- 31L. RoseD
- 3Fábio ViannaD
- 28V. DaguinM
- 6N. PăunM
- 7R. SilaghiM
- 17D. AndreiF
- 14M. MawaF
- 23Hunor BatzulaF
- 11D. OberlinF
- 25B. OtelițăD
- 88C. DavordzieF
- 27Raul CîmpeanF
- 9B. CmiljanićF
- 77A. AganovićM
- 21A. DobrosavleviciD
- 19G. GhimfușM
- 33S. GyengeG
- 36A. BellaarouchG
- 20D. IrimiaD
- 44Martín PascualD
- 15N. StoioanovD
- 31R. OpruțD
- 77D. ArmstrongM
- 29Alberto SoroM
- 90A. MărgineanM
- 10C. CîrjanM
- 97D. ZandbergenF
- 9M. KaramokoF
- 30M. DuțuD
- 18O. HintsaF
- 5Imran FetaiD
- 26A. MaziluF
- 21Cristian Petrișor MihaiM
- 66S. OprișM
- 19R. RaduD
- 73A. RoșcaG
- 23I. TarbaF
Form going into Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- L0-1away to Uta Arad18 September 2026
- W3-1CFR 1907 Cluj12 September 2026
- L0-5away to FC Botosani5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Arges Pitesti29 August 2026
Dinamo Bucuresti
- W4-0Farul Constanta20 September 2026
- W3-1away to Csikszereda11 September 2026
- W2-1FCSB5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara29 August 2026
What these results say
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 13 |
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti
- 30 November 2024Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 27 July 2024Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 4 December 2023Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 2–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 31 July 2023Dinamo Bucuresti 0–3 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 8 November 2022Dinamo Bucuresti 2–3 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheCupa României
- 20 March 2022Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
Leading scorers: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Dinamo Bucuresti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Dinamo Bucuresti
GoalsAssists
- Martín Pascual50
- D. Armstrong410
- Alberto Soro42
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.