FC Botosani vs Uta Arad Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FC Botosani 2-0 Uta Arad.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% FC Botosani, 28% draw, 29% Uta Arad — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Botosani at 43% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Botosani vs Uta Arad
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99G. AnestisG
- 2B. BayeyeD
- 23D. DiawD
- 4A. MironD
- 73N. IlașD
- 21Lucas de VegaM
- 67E. PapaM
- 26H. OngendaM
- 11Z. MitrovF
- 41A. DumiterF
- 7S. MailatF
- 37M. BordeianuM
- 77Gama GabrielM
- 27Ionuț Cristian GurăuG
- 8R. IdowuM
- 22M. KovtalyukF
- 9J. MarkovićF
- 3C. PetroD
- 90Mario PredaF
- 44R. SadikuD
- 1Márcio RosaG
- 14S. GueuletteD
- 4A. BengaD
- 22R. BădescuD
- 3S. AlomeroviсD
- 6A. IvanovM
- 5S. MinoM
- 11H. AbdallahM
- 8A. RomanM
- 20Denis TaroiM
- 9M. ComanF
- 10M. TzionisF
- 7Ismet SinaniF
- 60D. PospelovD
- 17Roland Remus Patrik SabauD
- 77J. PapeauM
- 42O. El SawyM
- 33A. GorceaG
Form going into FC Botosani vs Uta Arad
FC Botosani
- L1-3away to CFR 1907 Cluj19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Arges Pitesti13 September 2026
- W5-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Farul Constanta30 August 2026
Uta Arad
- W1-0Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe18 September 2026
- L2-4away to Farul Constanta11 September 2026
- W5-1Csikszereda5 September 2026
- W3-1away to FCSB30 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Botosani failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Botosani scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Uta Arad scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Uta Arad won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Uta Arad conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Botosani | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 14 |
| 12 | Uta Arad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Botosani vs Uta Arad
- 10 October 2026FC Botosani 2–0 Uta AradLiga I
- 11 April 2026Uta Arad 3–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 15 February 2026Uta Arad 2–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 6 October 2025FC Botosani 2–1 Uta AradLiga I
- 5 April 2025Uta Arad 1–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
- 23 December 2024Uta Arad 2–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
Leading scorers: FC Botosani and Uta Arad
FC Botosani
GoalsAssists
- A. Dumiter60
- S. Mailat42
Uta Arad
GoalsAssists
- M. Coman40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.