Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Csikszereda 0-1 Universitatea Craiova.
Before kick-off the model made it 14% Csikszereda, 22% draw, 64% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 7.14, 4.55 and 1.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Craiova at 64% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 896 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 94E. PapG
- 22M. ÓdorD
- 24J. HegedűsD
- 3R. PalmeşD
- 6L. PászkaD
- 8S. VereșM
- 13A. CsürösM
- 20Gabriel Araújo LimaM
- 90S. NyitraM
- 77A. StahlM
- 27M. EppelF
- 79S. SzalayF
- 4A. SzabóD
- 14L. NovelliF
- 30Z. MagyarM
- 9N. KukovecF
- 34M. KarácsonyG
- 10Soufiane JebariM
- 11A. HorváthM
- 17Á. CzékusF
- 21L. PopescuG
- 3O. RomanchukD
- 24N. StevanovićD
- 6V. ScreciuD
- 17C. MoraM
- 8T. BăluțăM
- 20A. CicâldăuM
- 11N. BancuM
- 30D. MateiF
- 9A. Al HamlawiF
- 10Ș. BaiaramF
- 29L. BăsceanuM
- 4A. CrețuM
- 22S. ElisorF
- 1A. MaximG
- 7S. NsimbaF
- 5B. RouxD
- 18M. RădulescuM
- 16João LameiraM
- 90R. SavaG
Form going into Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova
Csikszereda
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti21 September 2026
- L1-3Dinamo Bucuresti11 September 2026
- L1-5away to Uta Arad5 September 2026
- L2-3CFR 1907 Cluj29 August 2026
Universitatea Craiova
- W5-0FCSB19 September 2026
- W1-0away to Corvinul Hunedoara13 September 2026
- W4-0Universitatea Cluj7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Rapid31 August 2026
What these results say
- Csikszereda did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Csikszereda conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Csikszereda scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Universitatea Craiova won 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Csikszereda | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 1 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Csikszereda vs Universitatea Craiova
- 11 October 2026Csikszereda 0–1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 22 December 2025Universitatea Craiova 5–0 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 17 August 2025Csikszereda 1–2 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 28 February 2019Csikszereda 0–3 CS Universitatea CraiovaCupa României
Leading scorers: Csikszereda and Universitatea Craiova
Csikszereda
GoalsAssists
- M. Eppel40
Universitatea Craiova
GoalsAssists
- S. Elisor60
- A. Al Hamlawi40
- S. Nsimba40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.