Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shanghai Shenhua 7-1 Yunnan Yukun.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Shanghai Shenhua, 20% draw, 28% Yunnan Yukun — fair odds of 1.92, 5.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Shanghai Shenhua at 52% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun
Line-ups
- 1Qinghao XueG
- 13Wilson ManafáD
- 3Jin ShunkaiD
- 5Chenjie ZhuD
- 27Shinichi ChanD
- 19Luís AsuéM
- 33Haijian WangM
- 15Wu XiM
- 30Xie PengfeiM
- 10João Carlos TeixeiraF
- 9Rafael RatãoF
- 21Haoyang XuM
- 17Tianyi GaoM
- 45Jiawen HanM
- 18Liu ChengyuF
- 16Zexiang YangD
- 24Zhen MaG
- 38Wu QipengD
- 2Shilong WangD
- 25Zhu YueD
- 23Zhifeng WangG
- 25Hanwen DengD
- 33Andrei BurcăD
- 2Ruibao HuD
- 3Wang-Kit TsuiD
- 22Liuyu DuanM
- 8Xin XuM
- 34Caio ViníciusM
- 10Alexandru IonițăF
- 9CléberF
- 11Oscar Taty MarituF
- 39Bunyamin AbdusalamF
- 19Zichang HuangF
- 7Chugui YeD
- 30John Hou SæterM
- 6Yuhao ZhaoM
- 14Xinghao WangG
- 1Yaxiong BaoG
- 16Zhang XiangshuoD
- 21Zihao YangD
Form going into Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
- W3-1away to Chongqing Tongliang Long6 September 2026
- L2-3Shandong Luneng28 August 2026
- W5-4away to Chengdu Better City22 August 2026
- L0-3Beijing Guoan18 August 2026
Yunnan Yukun
- W5-0Shenyang Urban6 September 2026
- L0-6away to Hangzhou Greentown29 August 2026
- D3-3away to Beijing Guoan22 August 2026
- W3-1Dalian Zhixing15 August 2026
What these results say
- Shanghai Shenhua conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Shanghai Shenhua had three goals or more.
- Shanghai Shenhua scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Yunnan Yukun had three goals or more.
- Yunnan Yukun scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Yunnan Yukun conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 47 | +12 | 34 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shanghai Shenhua vs Yunnan Yukun
- 10 October 2026Shanghai Shenhua 7–1 Yunnan YukunSuper League
- 16 May 2026Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 2 August 2025Yunnan Yukun 4–4 Shanghai ShenhuaSuper League
- 2 April 2025Shanghai Shenhua 3–1 Yunnan YukunSuper League
- 23 June 2023Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Shanghai ShenhuaFA Cup
Leading scorers: Shanghai Shenhua and Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
GoalsAssists
- Rafael Ratão181
Yunnan Yukun
GoalsAssists
- O. Maritu209
- Cléber135
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.