Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda Super League prediction & result
Final score: Chengdu Better City 0-1 Tianjin Teda.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Chengdu Better City, 27% draw, 24% Tianjin Teda — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Chengdu Better City at 49% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda
Line-ups
- 32Liu DianzuoG
- 17Wang DongshengD
- 22Yang LiD
- 28Egor SorokinD
- 4He YiranD
- 16Yang Ming-YangM
- 5Matheus JussaM
- 11Wellington SilvaM
- 10RômuloM
- 2Hu HetaoM
- 20Wang ZimingF
- 58Liao RongxiangM
- 29Iminqari MutallepM
- 3Alex JojoD
- 15Weifeng RanG
- 1Tao JianG
- 19Dong YanfengD
- 48Li MoyuF
- 45Ezimet QeyserF
- 39Gan ChaoM
- 25Yan BingliangG
- 3Zhenghao WangD
- 11Xie WeijunD
- 18Aitor CórdobaD
- 6Xianjun WangD
- 31Ming-Him SunD
- 8Bruno XadasM
- 24Chen ZhexuanM
- 10Cristian SalvadorM
- 30Qiuming WangM
- 9Alberto QuilesF
- 7Guilherme SchettineF
- 14Jiahui HuangM
- 29Dun BaM
- 21Qi YuxiG
- 38Shuaiqi LiD
- 16Shuai LiuM
- 17Xinghan WuD
- 22Li YongjiaM
- 40Shi YanM
Form going into Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda
Chengdu Better City
- D0-0away to Henan Jianye6 September 2026
- W2-1Shenyang Urban29 August 2026
- L4-5Shanghai Shenhua22 August 2026
- W3-2away to Hangzhou Greentown15 August 2026
Tianjin Teda
- W1-0Shenyang Urban12 September 2026
- W2-1Hangzhou Greentown6 September 2026
- D1-1Qingdao Youth Island29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Wuhan Three Towns22 August 2026
What these results say
- Chengdu Better City scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Chengdu Better City conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Chengdu Better City had three goals or more.
- Tianjin Teda went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Tianjin Teda scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Tianjin Teda had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | +20 | 52 |
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 32 | +5 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Chengdu Better City vs Tianjin Teda
- 10 October 2026Chengdu Better City 0–1 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 15 May 2026Tianjin Teda 1–2 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
- 18 July 2025Tianjin Teda 2–1 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
- 2 March 2025Chengdu Better City 1–2 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 12 July 2024Chengdu Better City 2–1 Tianjin TedaSuper League
- 6 April 2024Tianjin Teda 2–3 Chengdu Better CitySuper League
Leading scorers: Chengdu Better City and Tianjin Teda
Chengdu Better City
GoalsAssists
- Felipe173
- Wellington Silva96
Tianjin Teda
GoalsAssists
- Alberto Quiles114
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.