10 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Servette FC vs FC Sion Super League prediction & result

Geneva
Referee: Fedayi San, Switzerland
Full time3 – 0

Final score: Servette FC 3-0 FC Sion.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% Servette FC, 27% draw, 41% FC Sion — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Sion at 41% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Servette FC99%Draw1%FC Sion0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Bradley Mazikou
5'
⚽Houboulang Mendesassist: Pedrinho
11'
⚽Jarell Simoassist: Thomas Lopes
18'
24'
Baltazar Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
29'
🔁Franck Surdezout: Rilind Nivokazi
Houboulang Mendes
32'
Mathis Lambourde
39'
54'
Rilind Nivokazi
59'
🔁Marquinhos Ciprianoout: Nias Hefti
60'
🔁Winsley Boteli Mokangoout: Josias Lukembila
60'
🔁Liam Chipperfieldout: Benjamin Kololli
🔁Houboulang Mendesout: Quentin Maceiras
61'
🔁Pedrinhoout: David Douline
61'
⚽Kingstone Mutandwa (pen)
63'
Quentin Maceiras
69'
71'
🔁Ylyas Chouarefout: Théo Berdayes
🔁Thomas Lopesout: Lilian Njoh
77'
🔁Mathis Lambourdeout: Tiemoko Ouattara
77'
🔁Jarell Simoout: Teo Allix
81'
Teo Allix
90+1'

Match stats — Servette FC vs FC Sion

36%Possession64%
16Shots12
5On target3
5Corners5
1.53xG1.13

Goals against chances

Servette FC3 from 1.53 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Sion0 from 1.13 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Servette FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. GertmonasG
  • 17Houboulang MendesD
  • 4S. RouillerD
  • 15M. BurchD
  • 18B. MazikouD
  • 6Pedro NaressiM
  • 20Jarell Njike SimoM
  • 22M. LambourdeM
  • 36Thomas LopesM
  • 21J. KarlssonM
  • 7K. MutandwaF
Substitutes
  • 77T. OuattaraF
  • 35A. VincentM
  • 34T. AllixD
  • 78L. BessonG
  • 28D. DoulineM
  • 23Q. MaceirasD
  • 90S. MrázF
  • 14L. NjohD
  • 41T. NunezF
Coach: J. Gourvennec
FC Sion 4-3-3
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 5N. SowD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 8Baltazar CostaM
  • 7I. ChouarefF
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
  • 19F. SurdezF
Substitutes
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 38R. KesslerD
  • 10B. KololliM
  • 22A. LlukesM
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 33R. NivokaziF
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 55L. VillaD
  • 29T. BerdayesF
Coach: D. Tholot

Form going into Servette FC vs FC Sion

Servette FC

  • L2-3away to BSC Young Boys19 September 2026
  • W4-2away to FC Thun16 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Lausanne13 September 2026
  • L0-2FC St. Gallen6 September 2026

FC Sion

  • D1-1FC Zurich19 September 2026
  • W5-2away to Grasshoppers15 September 2026
  • W3-0away to FC St. Gallen12 September 2026
  • W3-2FC Thun6 September 2026

What these results say

  • Servette FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Servette FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Sion went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • FC Sion scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • FC Sion won 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Servette FC104151413+113
3FC Sion106132317+619

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Servette FC vs FC Sion

  • 10 October 2026Servette FC 3–0 FC SionSuper League
  • 28 February 2026Servette FC 0–0 FC SionSuper League
  • 31 January 2026Servette FC 3–3 FC SionSuper League
  • 17 September 2025FC Sion 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
  • 13 April 2025FC Sion 1–1 Servette FCSuper League
  • 4 February 2025FC Sion 3–3 Servette FCSuper League

Leading scorers: Servette FC and FC Sion

Servette FC

GoalsAssists

  • K. Mutandwa40

FC Sion

GoalsAssists

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango64
  • J. Lukembila34

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.