Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnicki 1923 0-3 FK Crvena Zvezda.
Before kick-off the model made it 24% Radnicki 1923, 27% draw, 49% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 4.17, 3.70 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FK Crvena Zvezda at 49% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 81L. LijeskiÄG
- 7B. NikčevićD
- 5Nikola MarjanovićD
- 6H. HiloD
- 8M. KuzmanovićD
- 27M. RistićM
- 70J. ŽivkovićM
- 35N. GlavčićM
- 19D. BuchtaM
- 10M. CisséM
- 77Issa BahF
- 28S. AlićM
- 29António Pina GomesF
- 80J. IlićM
- 2M. MezghraniM
- 4N. MiličićD
- 1M. ŠahinovićG
- 99A. SuljićF
- 25T. UdeD
- 16Vanja TomićM
- 1MatheusG
- 3Y. NakayamaD
- 45S. GudeljD
- 32D. LuckassenD
- 20Tomás HändelM
- 21T. ElšnikM
- 60M. GashtarovM
- 23M. RistićM
- 70M. ChamF
- 9B. DiengF
- 22V. KostovF
- 7M. ArnautovićF
- 30F. Tebo UchennaD
- 27M. StrikaD
- 37V. LučićM
- 33R. KrunićM
- 14O. BukariF
- 8K. BalovF
- 55D. SaricM
- 50S. RadanovićG
Form going into Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnicki 1923
- W5-3away to OFK Beograd19 September 2026
- W5-0Mladost Lucani12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Macva5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Radnicki NIS29 August 2026
FK Crvena Zvezda
- W3-0Radnicki NIS20 September 2026
- W2-1away to Železničar Pančevo17 September 2026
- W1-0away to IMT Novi Beograd13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Radnik Surdulica10 September 2026
What these results say
- Radnicki 1923 went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Radnicki 1923 scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FK Crvena Zvezda went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- FK Crvena Zvezda won 3 of these 4 matches.
- FK Crvena Zvezda scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 17 |
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 3 | +24 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda
- 10 October 2026Radnicki 1923 0–3 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 1 March 2026Radnicki 1923 0–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 28 September 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 2–1 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 23 April 2025Radnicki 1923 4–1 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
- 8 February 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 6–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 1 September 2024Radnicki 1923 0–1 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnicki 1923 and FK Crvena Zvezda
Radnicki 1923
GoalsAssists
- M. Cissé41
- U. Sremčević40
- D. Buchta31
FK Crvena Zvezda
GoalsAssists
- V. Kostov42
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.