Cukaricki vs Macva Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Cukaricki 2-2 Macva.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Cukaricki, 27% draw, 23% Macva — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cukaricki at 50% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Cukaricki vs Macva
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 81V. ČarapićG
- 24N. StankovićD
- 23I. MaigaD
- 26M. ĐokovićD
- 3Z. ŠehovićD
- 72U. NikolićM
- 5M. DocićM
- 51Remy Rees-DottinM
- 10U. MiladinovićM
- 8L. MarkovićM
- 99Đ. JovanovićF
- 77A. BajovićM
- 20A. CisseM
- 12Lazar KaličaninG
- 73N. MiletićD
- 18Karel MustmaaF
- 50M. PavkovF
- 87Mateja ProkopijevićM
- 86Veljko RadosavljevićM
- 4N. TomovićD
- 89V. JovanovićG
- 17N. LainovićD
- 26U. DrezgićD
- 35Issa KoneD
- 33U. BlagojevićD
- 34Danilo KneževićM
- 8B. VraštanovićM
- 10M. ErgelašM
- 30Đorđe ĐorđićM
- 27L. PejovićM
- 99N. DelibasicF
- 23M. ZupanjacD
- 9M. VidakovF
- 4V. IlicD
- 28S. JovicG
- 11V. RakićM
- 12K. RakonicG
- 5Darko TerzićM
- 44N. StevanovićD
- 50B. MatićF
Form going into Cukaricki vs Macva
Cukaricki
- L1-2away to Železničar Pančevo20 September 2026
- D1-1Novi Pazar12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Radnik Surdulica5 September 2026
- L0-5Vojvodina29 August 2026
Macva
- L1-2Mladost Lucani20 September 2026
- L0-2away to Železničar Pančevo11 September 2026
- D0-0Radnicki 19235 September 2026
- D1-1away to Novi Pazar29 August 2026
What these results say
- Cukaricki did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Cukaricki conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Cukaricki scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Macva did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Macva conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Macva had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cukaricki | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Macva | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cukaricki vs Macva
- 10 October 2026Cukaricki 2–2 MacvaSuper Liga
- 21 March 2021Macva 1–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 26 September 2020Cukaricki 4–0 MacvaSuper Liga
- 20 June 2020Cukaricki 3–1 MacvaSuper Liga
- 3 November 2019Macva 0–0 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 1 December 2018Macva 1–0 CukarickiSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Cukaricki and Macva
Cukaricki
GoalsAssists
- U. Miladinović43
Macva
GoalsAssists
- M. Vidakov30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.