AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: AS Trencin 0-1 Dukla Banská Bystrica.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% AS Trencin, 26% draw, 27% Dukla Banská Bystrica — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Slovak Super Liga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts AS Trencin at 47% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1A. Katic
- 14R. Sanusi
- 33R. Krizan
- 29L. Bessile
- 13J. Mulder
- 18M. Poom
- 10D. Kam
- 93P. Gonzalez
- 21L. Mikulaj
- 7Eynel Soares
- 5F. Kasana
- 30M. Slavicek
- 2N. Jovanovic
- 25L. Skovajsa
- 95P. Diouf
- 8T. Hajovsky
- 16C. Ansah
- 22D. Jepihhin
- 99M. Boye
- 27F. Slovak
- 31L. Hrosso
- 42Maik
- 23M. Bakala
- 41L. Willweber
- 13N. Sikula
- 7J. Povazanec
- 6D. Richtarech
- 29E. Arevalo
- 28M. Gjorgievski
- 27N. Kubala
- 57M. Duris
- 1J. Trefil
- 11K. Vallo
- 14Joao Miranda
- 24V. Toth
- 9T. Slebodnik
- 73A. Hanes
- 15A. Sivicek
- 16S. Kostial
- 25E. Okechukwu
Form going into AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
AS Trencin
- L1-2away to Žilina19 September 2026
- L1-4Dunajska Streda12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Zemplín Michalovce5 September 2026
- W2-1Ružomberok29 August 2026
Dukla Banská Bystrica
- L0-1away to Zemplín Michalovce19 September 2026
- W3-2Skalica12 September 2026
- L0-3away to FK Košice6 September 2026
- D2-2Komárno29 August 2026
What these results say
- AS Trencin scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- AS Trencin conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for AS Trencin had three goals or more.
- Dukla Banská Bystrica conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dukla Banská Bystrica failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Dukla Banská Bystrica had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | AS Trencin | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 5 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AS Trencin vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
- 25 April 2025AS Trencin 2–2 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 29 March 2025Dukla Banská Bystrica 2–3 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 23 November 2024Dukla Banská Bystrica 6–1 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 17 August 2024AS Trencin 2–2 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 11 May 2024AS Trencin 2–0 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 30 March 2024Dukla Banská Bystrica 4–2 AS TrencinSuper Liga
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.