10 October 2026, 14:30 UTC

GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie prediction & result

De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Referee: Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Full time3 – 3

Final score: GO Ahead Eagles 3-3 Sparta Rotterdam.

Before kick-off the model made it 58% GO Ahead Eagles, 22% draw, 20% Sparta Rotterdam — fair odds of 1.72, 4.55 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts GO Ahead Eagles at 58% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

23'
⚽Milan Zonneveldassist: Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
🔁Evert Linthorstout: Yassir Salah Rahmouni
45'
49'
Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
⚽Mathis Surayassist: Dean Ruben James
50'
🔁Dean Ruben Jamesout: Thibo Baeten
57'
59'
Cedric Hatenboer
⚽Milan Zonneveld (OG)
60'
61'
🔁Robin van Cruijsenout: Casper Terho
61'
🔁Jens Toornstraout: Teo Quintero León
61'
⚽Lushendry Martesassist: Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi
🔁Alfons Sampstedout: Tino Jukic
73'
🔁Stefán Ingi Sigurdarsonout: Oskar Siira Sivertsen
74'
⚽Søren Tengstedtassist: Melle Meulensteen
75'
79'
🔁Bruno Martins Indiout: Andrej Kostić
81'
Lushendry Martes
84'
⚽Casper Terho
🔁Søren Tengstedtout: Erik Flataker Hovden
85'

Match stats — GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam

63%Possession37%
17Shots18
6On target8
9Corners6
1.33xG2.01

Goals against chances

GO Ahead Eagles3 from 1.33 xGmore than the chances were worth
Sparta Rotterdam3 from 2.01 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

GO Ahead Eagles 4-2-3-1
  • 1K. HaugG
  • 2A. SampstedD
  • 25G. van ZwamD
  • 4J. KramerD
  • 5D. JamesD
  • 21M. MeulensteenM
  • 8E. LinthorstM
  • 10S. TengstedtM
  • 16V. EdvardsenM
  • 17M. SurayM
  • 9S. SigurðarsonF
Substitutes
  • 29E. FlatakerF
  • 27Tomas GalvezD
  • 30T. HullemanG
  • 6T. JukićD
  • 18R. MargaretF
  • 23T. BaetenF
  • 3G. NauberD
  • 34Y. RahmouniM
  • 11O. SivertsenF
Coach: J. Oosting
Sparta Rotterdam 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. BrouwerG
  • 2L. MartesD
  • 3M. YoungD
  • 4B. Martins IndiD
  • 5B. KuipersD
  • 6N. VerschurenM
  • 7Robin van CruijsenM
  • 8J. ToornstraM
  • 10Cedric HatenboerM
  • 11I. BabadiM
  • 9M. ZonneveldF
Substitutes
  • 15G. VianelloD
  • 17C. TerhoF
  • 18A. RoaldsøyM
  • 12B. ReithD
  • 14Teo QuinteroD
  • 30P. KuiperG
  • 19Andrej KostićF
  • 22Joel IdehoF
  • 20F. BednarekG
Coach: R. Meijer

Form going into GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam

GO Ahead Eagles

  • D1-1away to NEC Nijmegen20 September 2026
  • D1-1Groningen12 September 2026
  • D3-3away to Utrecht8 September 2026
  • L2-5away to AZ Alkmaar29 August 2026

Sparta Rotterdam

  • L0-4Heerenveen19 September 2026
  • L1-4away to PSV Eindhoven13 September 2026
  • D2-2PEC Zwolle4 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Excelsior29 August 2026

What these results say

  • GO Ahead Eagles did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • GO Ahead Eagles scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • GO Ahead Eagles conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Sparta Rotterdam did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Sparta Rotterdam conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Sparta Rotterdam had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8GO Ahead Eagles82511917+211
14Sparta Rotterdam81341320-76

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam

  • 10 October 2026GO Ahead Eagles 3–3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
  • 3 May 2026Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
  • 23 August 2025GO Ahead Eagles 0–3 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
  • 14 February 2025GO Ahead Eagles 1–0 Sparta RotterdamEredivisie
  • 18 December 2024Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 GO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker
  • 15 September 2024Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie

The full GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam record →

Leading scorers: GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam

GO Ahead Eagles

GoalsAssists

  • S. Tengstedt62
  • V. Edvardsen32

Sparta Rotterdam

GoalsAssists

  • M. Zonneveld51

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.