Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93 Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Clermont Foot 2-3 RED Star FC 93.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Clermont Foot, 30% draw, 35% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 2.86, 3.33 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Clermont Foot at 35% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30T. GuivarchG
- 93I. CoulibalyD
- 21Y. SalmierD
- 4E. KabeyaD
- 6E. KonéD
- 5J. GrillotM
- 77E. CanteroM
- 26R. KouaméM
- 22Marouane AdmarM
- 7F. BianchiniM
- 9Luís SemedoF
- 10J. SambiaD
- 23A. HunouM
- 17O. DiopF
- 13J. AsticM
- 28I. M'BahiaD
- 16M. NdiayeG
- 39J. Nyindong TsamounaF
- 90C. OkouF
- 3A. PelmardD
- 16G. PoussinG
- 2T. MagninD
- 20D. DurivauxD
- 5J. EscartinD
- 4E. ZidaneD
- 19I. HalifaM
- 17S. RenelM
- 11K. CisséM
- 10S. KhaouiM
- 7D. DurandM
- 23J. Ikanga A NgeleF
- 80C. Bianay BalcotD
- 6B. DangerD
- 9I. DespotovicF
- 3M. HuardD
- 45Cheick KonateM
- 27G. KyeremehF
- 21Idrissa SabalyM
- 1Yanis Benchaouch MartyG
- 25Leonardo ButaD
Form going into Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
- D1-1away to Grenoble18 September 2026
- D0-0Boulogne11 September 2026
- D1-1away to Dunkerque4 September 2026
- D0-0Sochaux28 August 2026
RED Star FC 93
- W3-1away to Guingamp19 September 2026
- W1-0Metz14 September 2026
- W2-1away to Laval4 September 2026
- L1-4Reims29 August 2026
What these results say
- Clermont Foot went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Clermont Foot did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Clermont Foot had two goals or fewer.
- RED Star FC 93 scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 won 3 of these 4 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 2 | RED Star FC 93 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93
- 10 October 2026Clermont Foot 2–3 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 20 March 2026Clermont Foot 0–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 22 November 2025RED Star FC 93 2–2 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 25 April 2025RED Star FC 93 1–1 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 24 September 2024Clermont Foot 1–1 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 15 March 2019RED Star FC 93 0–4 Clermont FootLigue 2
Leading scorers: Clermont Foot and RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
RED Star FC 93
GoalsAssists
- D. Durand50
- J. Ikanga A Ngele42
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.