10 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Nantes vs Reims Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Referee: Faouzi Benchabane, France
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Nantes 0-0 Reims.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Nantes, 27% draw, 31% Reims — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nantes at 42% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Nantes4%Draw92%Reims4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Wilitty Younoussa
33'
59'
seydou dembele
64'
🔁seydou dembeleout: Tidiane Diarrassouba
65'
🔁Sambou Soumanoout: Youssef el Kachati
🔁Igniatius Ganagoout: Killian Corredor
68'
🔁Wilitty Younoussaout: Dehmaine Tabibou
68'
🔁Johann Lepenantout: Balthazar Pierret
77'
🔁Fode Doucoureout: Fabien Centonze
77'
Ibrahima Sissoko
80'
🔁Ryad Hachemout: Antoine Joujou
86'
88'
Chamsedin Kouranfal

Match stats — Nantes vs Reims

49%Possession51%
19Shots7
5On target4
7Corners6
1.98xG0.3

Goals against chances

Nantes0 from 1.98 xGless than the chances were worth
Reims0 from 0.30 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Nantes 3-4-3
  • 30P. CarlgrenG
  • 4S. SowD
  • 5L. PerrinD
  • 98K. AmianD
  • 13F. DoucouréM
  • 23W. YounoussaM
  • 28I. SissokoM
  • 26R. HachemM
  • 8J. LepenantF
  • 27T. RobinetF
  • 37I. GanagoF
Substitutes
  • 44B. PierretM
  • 12K. CorredorF
  • 18F. CentonzeD
  • 1M. DupéG
  • 24F. GuilbertD
  • 7A. JoujouF
  • 19Louis LerouxM
  • 74Loan MerrifieldF
  • 17D. AssoumaniM
Coach: Grégory Poirier
Reims 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. HülsmannG
  • 21J. MambukuD
  • 28N. AhouononD
  • 22S. KottoD
  • 27D. GuindoD
  • 6T. LeoniM
  • 61C. KouranfalM
  • 46seydou dembeleM
  • 8Y. FofanaM
  • 9M. DaramyM
  • 99S. SoumanoF
Substitutes
  • 18Sergio AkiemeD
  • 76J. CelestinD
  • 7T. DiarrassoubaF
  • 10Y. El KachatiF
  • 30J. PatrickM
  • 77Quentin ParisF
  • 19A. GadouF
  • 12E. OmeragicG
  • 5John OtomewoD
Coach: N. Usaï

Form going into Nantes vs Reims

Nantes

  • W2-1away to Boulogne19 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Sochaux12 September 2026
  • W1-0Nancy7 September 2026
  • D3-3away to Guingamp29 August 2026

Reims

  • D1-1Montpellier18 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Nancy11 September 2026
  • D2-2Guingamp5 September 2026
  • W4-1away to RED Star FC 9329 August 2026

What these results say

  • Nantes scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Nantes conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Reims went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Reims scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Reims conceded in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Nantes8224913-48
4Reims8350159+614

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nantes vs Reims

  • 10 October 2026Nantes 0–0 ReimsLigue 2
  • 2 February 2025Reims 1–2 NantesLigue 1
  • 15 September 2024Nantes 1–2 ReimsLigue 1
  • 28 January 2024Reims 0–0 NantesLigue 1
  • 5 November 2023Nantes 0–1 ReimsLigue 1
  • 2 April 2023Nantes 0–3 ReimsLigue 1

Leading scorers: Nantes and Reims

Nantes

GoalsAssists

  • T. Robinet32

Reims

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Fofana60
  • Y. El Kachati21

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.