Eredivisie predictions

Friday 16 October — 1 match

• 18:00 UTC Heerenveen vs Excelsior — model 44% / 26% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.27 · 3.85 · 3.33. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched

Saturday 17 October — 3 matches

• 14:30 UTC ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven — model 13% / 17% / 70%, most likely 1-3, fair odds 7.69 · 5.88 · 1.43. Head-to-head record. One-sided: PSV Eindhoven
• 18:00 UTC Telstar vs Feyenoord — model 19% / 23% / 58%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 5.26 · 4.35 · 1.72. One-sided: Feyenoord
• 19:00 UTC Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II — model 56% / 23% / 21%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.79 · 4.35 · 4.76. Head-to-head record. Edge: Sparta Rotterdam

Sunday 18 October — 5 matches

• 10:15 UTC PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles — model 26% / 24% / 50%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.85 · 4.17 · 2.00. Head-to-head record. One-sided: GO Ahead Eagles
• 12:30 UTC Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar — model 22% / 23% / 55%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.55 · 4.35 · 1.82. Head-to-head record. One-sided: AZ Alkmaar
• 14:45 UTC Groningen vs Ajax — model 32% / 26% / 42%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.85 · 2.38. Head-to-head record. Edge: Ajax
• 18:00 UTC NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard — model 50% / 24% / 26%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.00 · 4.17 · 3.85. Head-to-head record. Evenly matched
• 18:00 UTC Twente vs Utrecht — model 60% / 22% / 18%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.67 · 4.55 · 5.56. Head-to-head record. Edge: Twente

Friday 23 October — 1 match

• 18:00 UTC GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar — model 51% / 24% / 25%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.96 · 4.17 · 4.00. Edge: GO Ahead Eagles

Saturday 24 October — 3 matches

• 14:30 UTC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle — model 60% / 22% / 18%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.67 · 4.55 · 5.56. Edge: Utrecht
• 16:45 UTC Willem II vs Cambuur — model 34% / 25% / 41%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.94 · 4.00 · 2.44. Edge: Cambuur
• 19:00 UTC ADO Den Haag vs Heerenveen — model 31% / 26% / 43%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.23 · 3.85 · 2.33. Edge: Heerenveen

Sunday 25 October — 5 matches

• 11:15 UTC Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior — model 40% / 26% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.85 · 2.94. Evenly matched
• 13:30 UTC PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord — model 47% / 23% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 4.35 · 3.33. Evenly matched
• 13:30 UTC NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen — model 41% / 25% / 34%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 4.00 · 2.94. Evenly matched
• 15:45 UTC Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax — model 20% / 22% / 58%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 5.00 · 4.55 · 1.72. One-sided: Ajax
• 19:00 UTC AZ Alkmaar vs Twente — model 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.57 · 3.13. Evenly matched

Last round: the model's hits and misses

9–11 October: the model called the result of 3 of 9 matches.

• PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Heerenveen — the model said 67% / 18% / 15%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• GO Ahead Eagles 3–3 Sparta Rotterdam — the model said 58% / 22% / 20%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Feyenoord 2–0 AZ Alkmaar — the model said 50% / 24% / 26%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Twente — the model said 26% / 25% / 49%, most likely 1-2: result missed.
• Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen — the model said 61% / 21% / 18%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Utrecht 3–1 Willem II — the model said 62% / 21% / 17%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
• Telstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag — the model said 49% / 27% / 24%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• PEC Zwolle 0–1 Cambuur — the model said 40% / 24% / 36%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Excelsior 1–5 Groningen — the model said 44% / 26% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result missed.