Bradford vs Leyton Orient League One prediction & result
Final score: Bradford 0-0 Leyton Orient.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Bradford, 31% draw, 25% Leyton Orient — fair odds of 2.27, 3.23 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Bradford at 44% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bradford vs Leyton Orient
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 21J. McCrackenG
- 28M. PenningtonD
- 15A. BaldwinD
- 16George Christopher John PrattD
- 19K. JacksonM
- 10A. SarcevicM
- 6C. ConnollyM
- 3I. TourayM
- 8A. PhillipsM
- 23B. PointonM
- 9J. BeesleyF
- 24W. SwanF
- 22Kieran MorganM
- 27C. O'KeeffeD
- 25N. PowellM
- 1C. DawsonG
- 5M. GillespheyD
- 32G. LapslieM
- 1N. BaxterG
- 5J. OlowuD
- 6W. ForresterD
- 12A. GilchristD
- 2F. StevensM
- 20A. GilbertM
- 14I. HaydenM
- 3J. MorrisM
- 22Y. AkhamrichM
- 9J. KabiaM
- 18D. ScarlettF
- 10A. ConnollyF
- 17A. DobraF
- 8I. El MizouniM
- 27T. SpringettF
- 25Charlie Gerard Richard WellensM
- 34P. ChineduD
- 33Killian CahillG
Form going into Bradford vs Leyton Orient
Bradford
- D1-1away to Reading3 October 2026
- W1-0away to Luton19 September 2026
- W1-0away to Notts County12 September 2026
- W1-0Mansfield Town5 September 2026
Leyton Orient
- L0-2Plymouth3 October 2026
- W1-0Stevenage19 September 2026
- L2-3Wycombe12 September 2026
- D1-1away to Luton5 September 2026
What these results say
- Bradford went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Bradford scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Bradford had two goals or fewer.
- Leyton Orient failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Leyton Orient scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Leyton Orient conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Bradford vs Leyton Orient
- 10 October 2026Bradford 0–0 Leyton OrientLeague One
- 8 September 2026Leyton Orient 1–3 BradfordLeague Cup
- 7 March 2026Bradford 2–1 Leyton OrientLeague One
- 20 December 2025Leyton Orient 2–1 BradfordLeague One
- 8 May 2023Bradford 1–1 Leyton OrientLeague Two
- 3 December 2022Leyton Orient 3–0 BradfordLeague Two
Leading scorers: Bradford and Leyton Orient
Bradford
No player in League One's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Leyton Orient
GoalsAssists
- J. Kabia42
- Y. Akhamrich32
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.