Mansfield Town vs Bromley League One prediction & result
Final score: Mansfield Town 2-1 Bromley.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Mansfield Town, 22% draw, 19% Bromley — fair odds of 1.69, 4.55 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Mansfield Town at 59% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mansfield Town vs Bromley
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1L. RobertsG
- 4E. HewittD
- 23A. OshilajaD
- 5R. SweeneyD
- 25L. ReedM
- 22N. Moriah-WelshM
- 13J. RussellM
- 16L. ThompsonM
- 3S. McLaughlinM
- 18R. OatesF
- 14M. SmithF
- 33G. AbbottM
- 20F. Blake-TracyD
- 8L. BoltonD
- 24R. HendryM
- 2K. KnoyleD
- 10G. MarisM
- 19T. RobertsF
- 31O. MasonG
- 12Marcus Lemar IfillD
- 5O. SowunmiD
- 21Kamari Antonio GrantD
- 17J. MendyD
- 6G. SavilleM
- 18C. WhitelyM
- 22K. ContehM
- 28J. McKiernanM
- 11M. PinnockM
- 20V. AdeboyejoF
- 9M. CheekF
- 16W. HondermarckM
- 45A. JacksonD
- 10J. JonesF
- 14N. KabambaF
- 19M. MillerF
- 1G. SmithG
Form going into Mansfield Town vs Bromley
Mansfield Town
- D2-2away to Burton Albion19 September 2026
- D0-0Huddersfield12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Bradford5 September 2026
- L0-5away to Reading2 September 2026
Bromley
- W2-1Huddersfield19 September 2026
- D2-2away to Blackpool12 September 2026
- L0-2AFC Wimbledon7 September 2026
- L0-5Leyton Orient1 September 2026
What these results say
- Mansfield Town did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Mansfield Town failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Mansfield Town conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Bromley conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Bromley failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Bromley had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mansfield Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
| 21 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Mansfield Town vs Bromley
- 10 October 2026Mansfield Town 2–1 BromleyLeague One
Leading scorers: Mansfield Town and Bromley
Mansfield Town
GoalsAssists
- N. Moriah-Welsh32
Bromley
GoalsAssists
- V. Adeboyejo40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.