De Graafschap sit 16th in the Eerste Divisie on 11 points from 10 matches, having scored 13 and conceded 23. On the model's scale they rate 0.57 in attack and 1.86 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Eerste Divisie averages of 0.57 and 1.70: close to the division's average. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, most recently beating Jong Utrecht 2-1 at home. That is 1.10 points a match, scoring 1.30 and conceding 2.30 per game across 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats. That leaves them 14 points behind Heracles at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 9th-best attack and the 13th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie on 19 October 2026, a match the model gives them 35%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | +19 | WLWDW | 25 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:7 | +15 | WWLWW | 22 |
| 3 | VVV Venlo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26:14 | +12 | WWLWW | 21 |
| 4 | Emmen | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | +4 | LLWDW | 19 |
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | +1 | LWWDW | 17 |
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | WDWLD | 16 |
| 7 | MVV | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | LLWLL | 16 |
| 8 | FC Volendam | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 22:17 | +5 | WLWLW | 15 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19:15 | +4 | WWLDL | 14 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | LWLDL | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | WLDWL | 13 |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | WLDLD | 13 |
| 13 | FC OSS | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | LWLWW | 12 |
| 14 | Den Bosch | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | LWLDW | 11 |
| 15 | FC Eindhoven | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:22 | -7 | WWLDL | 11 |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | WLWDW | 11 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | WLLDL | 9 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | WLLDL | 8 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:27 | -14 | LLWDL | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | DWWLL | 7 |
- Promotion to Eredivisie
De Graafschap sit 16 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W2-1Jong Utrecht9 October 2026
- D2-2away to FC Eindhoven3 October 2026
- W1-0Den Bosch27 September 2026
- L1-2NAC Breda20 September 2026
- W2-1away to Emmen11 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax
De Graafschap travel to Jong Ajax at Sportcomplex De Toekomst, Ouder-Amstel on 19 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. The model makes it 35% De Graafschap, 26% draw and 39% Jong Ajax, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.46 expected goals for De Graafschap against 1.57. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Full preview and model analysis for De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax
Recent meetings with Jong Ajax
- 6 February 2026De Graafschap 4–0 Jong AjaxEerste Divisie
- 3 October 2025Jong Ajax 2–2 De GraafschapEerste Divisie
- 19 April 2025De Graafschap 2–0 Jong AjaxEerste Divisie
- 9 December 2024Jong Ajax 2–0 De GraafschapEerste Divisie
- 11 March 2024De Graafschap 0–2 Jong AjaxEerste Divisie
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- J. Kania5 goals
League goals this season.