Doncaster sit 16th in the League One on 9 points from 8 matches, having scored 9 and conceded 9 — level on goal difference. On the model's scale they rate 0.48 in attack and 1.73 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against League One averages of 0.56 and 1.77: below the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently beating Burton Albion 1-0 at home. That is 1.13 points a match, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13 per game across 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 10 points behind Plymouth at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 18th-best attack and the 13th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Luton in the League One on 3 October 2026, a match the model gives them 27%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | WWLWW | 19 |
| 2 | Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | WWWDD | 17 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | WLDWW | 16 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | DDLWD | 16 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | +3 | DWDDW | 16 |
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | +11 | LWDDW | 15 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | +7 | WWDDD | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | +7 | LWWDW | 14 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | DWWLW | 12 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | LDWLL | 12 |
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | WWDDL | 12 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | DLWLD | 11 |
| 13 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | WDLLW | 11 |
| 14 | Mansfield Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | LLDDW | 11 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:20 | -6 | DWWDL | 10 |
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | DLLWW | 9 |
| 17 | Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | WLWDL | 9 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | LLDLL | 8 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | WLLDL | 8 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | LDLLW | 8 |
| 21 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:20 | -11 | LLDWL | 8 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | DDLLL | 7 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9:15 | -6 | LDDDL | 6 |
| 24 | Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | WLDLL | 4 |
- Promotion to Championship
- League One play-offs
- Relegation
Doncaster sit 16 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W1-0Burton Albion10 October 2026
- W2-0away to Peterborough19 September 2026
- L0-1away to AFC Wimbledon12 September 2026
- L2-3Plymouth5 September 2026
- D1-1Notts County1 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Doncaster vs Luton
Doncaster travel to Luton at Kenilworth Road, Luton on 3 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 27% Doncaster, 28% draw and 45% Luton, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1.
Full preview and model analysis for Doncaster vs Luton
Recent meetings with Luton
- 10 March 2026Doncaster 1–1 LutonLeague One
- 27 September 2025Luton 1–0 DoncasterLeague One
- 23 March 2019Luton 4–0 DoncasterLeague One
- 8 September 2018Doncaster 2–1 LutonLeague One
- 18 February 2017Doncaster 1–1 LutonLeague Two
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.