Burton Albion sit 10th in the League One on 12 points from 10 matches, having scored 14 and conceded 16. On the model's scale they rate 0.52 in attack and 1.81 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against League One averages of 0.56 and 1.77: close to the division's average. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, most recently losing to Doncaster 0-1 away. That is 1.20 points a match, scoring 1.40 and conceding 1.60 per game across 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats. That leaves them 7 points behind Plymouth at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 13th-best attack and the 16th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Peterborough in the League One on 17 October 2026, a match the model gives them 34%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | +6 | WWLWW | 19 |
| 2 | Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | WWWDD | 17 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | WLDWW | 16 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | DDLWD | 16 |
| 5 | Cambridge United | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | +3 | DWDDW | 16 |
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | +11 | LWDDW | 15 |
| 7 | Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:8 | +7 | WWDDD | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | +7 | LWWDW | 14 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | DWWLW | 12 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | LDWLL | 12 |
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | WWDDL | 12 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | DLWLD | 11 |
| 13 | Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | WDLLW | 11 |
| 14 | Mansfield Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | LLDDW | 11 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:20 | -6 | DWWDL | 10 |
| 16 | Doncaster | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | DLLWW | 9 |
| 17 | Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | WLWDL | 9 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | LLDLL | 8 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | WLLDL | 8 |
| 20 | Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | LDLLW | 8 |
| 21 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:20 | -11 | LLDWL | 8 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | DDLLL | 7 |
| 23 | Milton Keynes Dons | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9:15 | -6 | LDDDL | 6 |
| 24 | Wigan | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | WLDLL | 4 |
- Promotion to Championship
- League One play-offs
- Relegation
Burton Albion sit 10 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-1away to Doncaster10 October 2026
- L1-3Huddersfield3 October 2026
- W1-0away to Plymouth26 September 2026
- D2-2Mansfield Town19 September 2026
- L0-3away to Oxford United12 September 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Burton Albion vs Peterborough
Burton Albion travel to Peterborough at ABAX Stadium, Peterborough on 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC. The model makes it 34% Burton Albion, 28% draw and 38% Peterborough, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.26 expected goals for Burton Albion against 1.38. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Full preview and model analysis for Burton Albion vs Peterborough
Recent meetings with Peterborough
- 19 April 2026Peterborough 1–1 Burton AlbionLeague One
- 18 October 2025Burton Albion 0–1 PeterboroughLeague One
- 1 January 2025Burton Albion 2–2 PeterboroughLeague One
- 4 December 2024Peterborough 0–1 Burton AlbionLeague One
- 9 March 2024Burton Albion 1–3 PeterboroughLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- J. Armer3 goals1 assist
League goals this season.