Burton Albion vs Huddersfield League One prediction & result
Final score: Burton Albion 1-3 Huddersfield.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Burton Albion, 29% draw, 35% Huddersfield — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Burton Albion at 36% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 2,969 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Burton Albion vs Huddersfield
Line-ups
- 34C. AddaiG
- 26F. DelapD
- 12G. EvansD
- 16C. TiltD
- 17R. Borges RodriguesM
- 14W. CollarM
- 4K. ChaukeM
- 3J. ArmerM
- 18Caylon VickersM
- 8C. WebsterM
- 29Kain AdomF
- 24Harvey AraujoD
- 19M. DennisF
- 27K. DudekG
- 41Sulyman KruballyM
- 40Zac ScuttF
- 20J. SrahaD
- 23Emeka AdeileD
- 1M. YoungG
- 22I. BronkhorstD
- 12R. BalkerD
- 3M. WallaceD
- 15I. BowatD
- 30D. Sanches FernandesM
- 8A. CollinsM
- 20C. HumphreysM
- 19B. MumbaM
- 25B. RadulovićF
- 11A. FletcherF
- 5J. LowD
- 23S. RoughanD
- 10M. HarnessF
- 7L. GoochD
- 14E. BrierleyM
- 31J. AlnwickG
- 27J. Smith-SwayM
Form going into Burton Albion vs Huddersfield
Burton Albion
- W1-0away to Plymouth26 September 2026
- D2-2Mansfield Town19 September 2026
- L0-3away to Oxford United12 September 2026
Huddersfield
- L1-2away to Bromley19 September 2026
- D0-0away to Mansfield Town12 September 2026
- D1-1Notts County5 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Burton Albion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Burton Albion vs Huddersfield
- 3 October 2026Burton Albion 1–3 HuddersfieldLeague One
- 17 January 2026Burton Albion 3–1 HuddersfieldLeague One
- 20 September 2025Huddersfield 0–0 Burton AlbionLeague One
- 12 April 2025Burton Albion 3–0 HuddersfieldLeague One
- 29 December 2024Huddersfield 1–1 Burton AlbionLeague One
- 1 April 2017Huddersfield 0–1 Burton AlbionChampionship
Leading scorers: Burton Albion and Huddersfield
Burton Albion
GoalsAssists
- J. Armer31
Huddersfield
GoalsAssists
- J. Taylor61
- D. Sanches Fernandes44
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.