Premier League (Belarus)

1. Dinamo Minsk — 49 points from 23 played (15 won, 4 drawn, 4 lost), 43 scored, 19 conceded, goal difference +24. Form, oldest first: D L W W W.
2. ML Vitebsk — 47 points from 22 played (13 won, 8 drawn, 1 lost), 47 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +29. Form, oldest first: D D W W W.
3. FC Isloch Minsk R. — 46 points from 23 played (13 won, 7 drawn, 3 lost), 37 scored, 18 conceded, goal difference +19. Form, oldest first: W D W L D.
4. Neman — 43 points from 24 played (13 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 31 scored, 20 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: D W W W W.
5. Dinamo Brest — 43 points from 24 played (13 won, 4 drawn, 7 lost), 39 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference +16. Form, oldest first: L W W W W.
6. FC Gomel — 39 points from 24 played (11 won, 6 drawn, 7 lost), 34 scored, 23 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W L W L.
7. FC Vitebsk — 37 points from 24 played (10 won, 7 drawn, 7 lost), 28 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W L D W D.
8. FC Minsk — 34 points from 24 played (10 won, 4 drawn, 10 lost), 30 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: L W W L L.
9. Torpedo Zhodino — 30 points from 23 played (8 won, 6 drawn, 9 lost), 29 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference 0. Form, oldest first: L L L W L.
10. Slavia Mozyr — 25 points from 24 played (6 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost), 25 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W L L L L.
11. Baranovichi — 25 points from 24 played (6 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost), 24 scored, 41 conceded, goal difference -17. Form, oldest first: W W D L L.
12. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — 23 points from 24 played (5 won, 8 drawn, 11 lost), 24 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -18. Form, oldest first: L D D L L.
13. Bate Borisov — 21 points from 24 played (4 won, 9 drawn, 11 lost), 18 scored, 30 conceded, goal difference -12. Form, oldest first: L D L W L.
14. Belshina — 21 points from 23 played (5 won, 6 drawn, 12 lost), 23 scored, 40 conceded, goal difference -17. Form, oldest first: D D D W L.
15. Naftan — 17 points from 24 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 15 lost), 24 scored, 55 conceded, goal difference -31. Form, oldest first: L L D W W.
16. FC Dnepr Mogilev — 16 points from 24 played (2 won, 10 drawn, 12 lost), 22 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference -17. Form, oldest first: D L D L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-15, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 9 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• ML Vitebsk — chance of finishing top down 21.8, to 34.1%.
• Dinamo Minsk — chance of finishing top up 18.6, to 49.3%.
• FC Isloch Minsk R. — chance of finishing top up 3.1, to 16.3%.
• Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — bottom-three risk up 2.2, to 22.5%.
• Belshina — bottom-three risk down 2.2, to 46.5%.

Season projection

Every one of the 50 matches this phase has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. These figures cover the regular season only. The regular season is not the end of the competition: Final follow it, and no projection here covers them. Movement is measured against 2026-10-15, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Dinamo Minsk — projected to finish on 62.9 points, from 49 after 23 played. Finishes top of the regular season 49.3% (up 18.6), finishes top four 99.7%, bottom three 0%.
2. ML Vitebsk — projected to finish on 61.5 points, from 47 after 22 played. Finishes top of the regular season 34.1% (down 21.8), finishes top four 99.4%, bottom three 0%.
3. FC Isloch Minsk R. — projected to finish on 59.9 points, from 46 after 23 played. Finishes top of the regular season 16.3% (up 3.1), finishes top four 97.9%, bottom three 0%.
4. Dinamo Brest — projected to finish on 53.3 points, from 43 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.2%, finishes top four 59.5%, bottom three 0%.
5. Neman — projected to finish on 51.8 points, from 43 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0.1%, finishes top four 33.4%, bottom three 0%.
6. FC Gomel — projected to finish on 48 points, from 39 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 8.4%, bottom three 0%.
7. FC Vitebsk — projected to finish on 45.6 points, from 37 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 1.7%, bottom three 0%.
8. FC Minsk — projected to finish on 41.3 points, from 34 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0%.
9. Torpedo Zhodino — projected to finish on 38.8 points, from 30 after 23 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 0%.
10. Baranovichi — projected to finish on 32.5 points, from 25 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 4.9%.
11. Slavia Mozyr — projected to finish on 32.2 points, from 25 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 3.5%.
12. Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — projected to finish on 29.4 points, from 23 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 22.5%.
13. Bate Borisov — projected to finish on 28.2 points, from 21 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 32.9%.
14. Belshina — projected to finish on 27.5 points, from 21 after 23 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 46.5%.
15. FC Dnepr Mogilev — projected to finish on 22.1 points, from 16 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 91.1%.
16. Naftan — projected to finish on 20.6 points, from 17 after 24 played. Finishes top of the regular season 0%, finishes top four 0%, bottom three 98.7%.