Serie B (Brazil)

1. Vila Nova — 61 points from 33 played (18 won, 7 drawn, 8 lost), 46 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference +15. Form, oldest first: W W W D W.
2. Novorizontino — 60 points from 33 played (17 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost), 59 scored, 28 conceded, goal difference +31. Form, oldest first: L D W W W.
3. Juventude — 60 points from 33 played (17 won, 9 drawn, 7 lost), 39 scored, 21 conceded, goal difference +18. Form, oldest first: L W W W D.
4. Fortaleza EC — 57 points from 33 played (15 won, 12 drawn, 6 lost), 39 scored, 29 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W D D W D.
5. Criciuma — 56 points from 33 played (16 won, 8 drawn, 9 lost), 34 scored, 28 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: L W W L W.
6. Atletico Goianiense — 53 points from 33 played (14 won, 11 drawn, 8 lost), 41 scored, 31 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: L W W L D.
7. CRB — 52 points from 33 played (15 won, 7 drawn, 11 lost), 51 scored, 47 conceded, goal difference +4. Form, oldest first: L W L W D.
8. Sport Recife — 51 points from 33 played (13 won, 12 drawn, 8 lost), 45 scored, 35 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W L W W D.
9. Goias — 48 points from 33 played (14 won, 6 drawn, 13 lost), 34 scored, 40 conceded, goal difference -6. Form, oldest first: W L L W W.
10. Operario-PR — 48 points from 33 played (13 won, 9 drawn, 11 lost), 44 scored, 45 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: W D L L L.
11. Cuiaba — 47 points from 33 played (11 won, 14 drawn, 8 lost), 32 scored, 26 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L W D L.
12. São Bernardo — 46 points from 33 played (12 won, 10 drawn, 11 lost), 46 scored, 36 conceded, goal difference +10. Form, oldest first: W D W L D.
13. Athletic Club MG — 43 points from 33 played (10 won, 13 drawn, 10 lost), 40 scored, 39 conceded, goal difference +1. Form, oldest first: D D L L D.
14. Nautico Recife — 42 points from 33 played (11 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost), 39 scored, 42 conceded, goal difference -3. Form, oldest first: L W D L L.
15. Ceara — 42 points from 33 played (11 won, 9 drawn, 13 lost), 35 scored, 40 conceded, goal difference -5. Form, oldest first: W D W W L.
16. Botafogo SP — 41 points from 33 played (11 won, 8 drawn, 14 lost), 37 scored, 38 conceded, goal difference -1. Form, oldest first: D W L W W.
17. Avai — 36 points from 33 played (10 won, 6 drawn, 17 lost), 33 scored, 43 conceded, goal difference -10. Form, oldest first: L L L W W.
18. Londrina — 29 points from 33 played (7 won, 8 drawn, 18 lost), 42 scored, 49 conceded, goal difference -7. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.
19. America Mineiro — 17 points from 33 played (4 won, 5 drawn, 24 lost), 21 scored, 54 conceded, goal difference -33. Form, oldest first: L L L L L.
20. Ponte Preta — 13 points from 33 played (3 won, 4 drawn, 26 lost), 18 scored, 73 conceded, goal difference -55. Form, oldest first: W L L L L.

What moved

Measured against 2026-10-13, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 8 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Londrina — bottom-three risk up 1.5, to 92.7%.
• Avai — bottom-three risk down 1.3, to 6%.
• Novorizontino — title chance down 0.5, to 40.4%.
• Criciuma — title chance up 0.2, to 1.2%.
• Athletic Club MG — bottom-three risk down 0.1, to 0%.

Season projection

Every one of the 50 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-10-13, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. Novorizontino — projected to finish on 68.6 points, from 60 after 33 played. Wins it 40.4% (down 0.5), finishes top two 67.7%, bottom four 0%.
2. Juventude — projected to finish on 68 points, from 60 after 33 played. Wins it 25.1% (up 0.1), finishes top two 56.4%, bottom four 0%.
3. Vila Nova — projected to finish on 67.8 points, from 61 after 33 played. Wins it 25.4%, finishes top two 48.3%, bottom four 0%.
4. Fortaleza EC — projected to finish on 65.6 points, from 57 after 33 played. Wins it 7.6% (up 0.1), finishes top two 21.5%, bottom four 0%.
5. Criciuma — projected to finish on 62.6 points, from 56 after 33 played. Wins it 1.2% (up 0.2), finishes top two 4.3%, bottom four 0%.
6. Atletico Goianiense — projected to finish on 60.5 points, from 53 after 33 played. Wins it 0.2%, finishes top two 1.2%, bottom four 0%.
7. CRB — projected to finish on 59.8 points, from 52 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0.3%, bottom four 0%.
8. Sport Recife — projected to finish on 59.3 points, from 51 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0.3%, bottom four 0%.
9. Goias — projected to finish on 55.4 points, from 48 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 0%.
10. Operario-PR — projected to finish on 55.2 points, from 48 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 0%.
11. Cuiaba — projected to finish on 54.2 points, from 47 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 0%.
12. São Bernardo — projected to finish on 53.7 points, from 46 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 0.1%.
13. Ceara — projected to finish on 51.5 points, from 42 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 0.9%.
14. Athletic Club MG — projected to finish on 48.9 points, from 43 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 5.1%.
15. Nautico Recife — projected to finish on 47.8 points, from 42 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 11.9%.
16. Botafogo SP — projected to finish on 46.6 points, from 41 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 16.9%.
17. Avai — projected to finish on 43.3 points, from 36 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 65.8%.
18. Londrina — projected to finish on 36.2 points, from 29 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 99.3%.
19. America Mineiro — projected to finish on 21.4 points, from 17 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 100%.
20. Ponte Preta — projected to finish on 15.2 points, from 13 after 33 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top two 0%, bottom four 100%.

Top scorers

1. Mikael (CRB) — 16 goals, 4 assists.
2. Robson (Novorizontino) — 15 goals, 5 assists.
3. Boschilia (Operario-PR) — 13 goals, 4 assists.
4. Gustavo Coutinho (Atletico Goianiense) — 13 goals.
5. Perotti (Sport Recife) — 12 goals, 1 assist.
6. Bruno Santos (Londrina) — 11 goals, 3 assists.
7. Romulo (Novorizontino) — 11 goals, 9 assists.
8. Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife) — 11 goals, 4 assists.
9. Everton Morelli (Botafogo SP) — 9 goals, 2 assists.
10. Kadu (Goias) — 9 goals, 1 assist.
11. Vinícius (Nautico Recife) — 9 goals, 3 assists.
12. Janderson (Vila Nova) — 8 goals, 8 assists.
13. André Luís (Vila Nova) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
14. Hygor (Botafogo SP) — 8 goals.
15. Maílton (Fortaleza EC) — 8 goals, 2 assists.
16. Melk (Ceara) — 7 goals, 5 assists.
17. Raí (Juventude) — 7 goals, 4 assists.
18. Vinícius Diniz (Operario-PR) — 7 goals, 1 assist.
19. Crystopher (CRB) — 6 goals, 7 assists.
20. Kauan (Cuiaba) — 6 goals, 3 assists.