Brazilian Serie B predictions

Friday 16 October — 2 matches

• 22:30 UTC Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense — model 13% / 22% / 65%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 7.69 · 4.55 · 1.54. One-sided: Atletico Goianiense
• 23:30 UTC Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC — model 40% / 27% / 33%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.50 · 3.70 · 3.03. Evenly matched

Saturday 17 October — 2 matches

• 19:30 UTC Ceara vs Juventude — model 46% / 27% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.17 · 3.70 · 3.70. Evenly matched
• 21:30 UTC America Mineiro vs Operario-PR — model 30% / 27% / 43%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.33 · 3.70 · 2.33. Edge: Operario-PR

Sunday 18 October — 4 matches

• 19:00 UTC Avai vs Athletic Club MG — model 41% / 27% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.44 · 3.70 · 3.13. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC CRB vs Botafogo SP — model 53% / 24% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.89 · 4.17 · 4.35. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC São Bernardo vs Criciuma — model 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.57 · 3.70. Evenly matched
• 21:00 UTC Vila Nova vs Novorizontino — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach

Monday 19 October — 1 match

• 22:30 UTC Goias vs Nautico Recife — model 47% / 26% / 27%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.13 · 3.85 · 3.70. Evenly matched

Tuesday 20 October — 1 match

• 22:30 UTC Londrina vs Cuiaba — model 38% / 28% / 34%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.63 · 3.57 · 2.94. Evenly matched

Friday 23 October — 1 match

• 22:30 UTC Operario-PR vs Athletic Club MG — model 46% / 24% / 30%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.17 · 4.17 · 3.33. Evenly matched

Saturday 24 October — 6 matches

• 00:00 UTC Sport Recife vs Criciuma — model 48% / 28% / 24%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.08 · 3.57 · 4.17. Evenly matched
• 19:00 UTC Avai vs Botafogo SP — model 43% / 28% / 29%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.57 · 3.45. Evenly matched
• 19:30 UTC Atletico Goianiense vs Novorizontino — model 35% / 28% / 37%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.86 · 3.57 · 2.70. Tight game · draw in reach
• 19:30 UTC São Bernardo vs Vila Nova — model 42% / 27% / 31%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.70 · 3.23. Evenly matched
• 21:30 UTC Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza EC — model 10% / 17% / 73%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 10.00 · 5.88 · 1.37. One-sided: Fortaleza EC
• 21:30 UTC CRB vs Londrina — model 55% / 22% / 23%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 1.82 · 4.55 · 4.35. Evenly matched

Monday 26 October — 2 matches

• 22:30 UTC America Mineiro vs Cuiaba — model 25% / 31% / 44%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 4.00 · 3.23 · 2.27. One-sided: Cuiaba
• 23:30 UTC Juventude vs Nautico Recife — model 61% / 22% / 17%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.64 · 4.55 · 5.88. Edge: Juventude

Tuesday 27 October — 1 match

• 23:00 UTC Ceara vs Goias — model 58% / 25% / 17%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 1.72 · 4.00 · 5.88. Edge: Ceara

Last round: the model's hits and misses

11–13 October: the model called the result of 2 of 10 matches, 1 of them to the exact score.

• Juventude 2–2 São Bernardo — the model said 52% / 25% / 23%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Atletico Goianiense 1–1 Sport Recife — the model said 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Nautico Recife 0–2 Vila Nova — the model said 37% / 28% / 35%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Cuiaba 0–1 Avai — the model said 52% / 27% / 21%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• Operario-PR 0–2 Goias — the model said 50% / 25% / 25%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Fortaleza EC 2–2 CRB — the model said 58% / 22% / 20%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Novorizontino 5–1 Ponte Preta — the model said 86% / 10% / 4%, most likely 3-0: result correct.
• Criciuma 1–0 America Mineiro — the model said 60% / 25% / 15%, most likely 1-0: exact scoreline.
• Botafogo SP 1–0 Ceara — the model said 28% / 28% / 44%, most likely 0-1: result missed.
• Athletic Club 2–2 Londrina — the model said 50% / 24% / 26%, most likely 2-1: result missed.