Operario-PR vs Goias Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Operario-PR 0-2 Goias.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Operario-PR, 25% draw, 25% Goias — fair odds of 2.00, 4.00 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Operario-PR at 50% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 907 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Operario-PR vs Goias
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 33VagnerG
- 26MaguinhoD
- 16MirandaD
- 43JosephD
- 27Gabriel FelicianoD
- 8J. ZuluagaM
- 39Matheus TrindadeM
- 14Hildeberto PereiraM
- 88Neto ParaíbaM
- 30Pedro VilhenaM
- 99Caio DantasF
- 28DuduF
- 4KlausD
- 1Elias Martello CurzelG
- 21BrennoM
- 5ÍndioM
- 34Renan GustavoD
- 2Mikael DokaD
- 17Nicolas SchulzD
- 18AndréD
- 23TadeuG
- 54Djalma SilvaD
- 3Luiz FelipeD
- 14Lucas RibeiroD
- 6NicolasD
- 5Filipe MachadoM
- 10Lucas LimaM
- 97LourençoM
- 35LuquinhasM
- 18CaduM
- 11Felipe ClementeF
- 55Guilherme BaldóriaM
- 88BrayannM
- 25Luis FellipeD
- 66Danilo CunhaD
- 28GegêM
- 4Ramon MenezesD
- 1Thiago RodriguesG
- 27Wellington RatoM
- 8JuninhoM
Form going into Operario-PR vs Goias
Operario-PR
- L1-2Botafogo SP7 October 2026
- L0-3away to Juventude2 October 2026
- D2-2Ceara26 September 2026
- W2-0away to Criciuma22 September 2026
Goias
- W2-1Athletic Club MG6 October 2026
- L0-3away to Novorizontino2 October 2026
- L0-1Atletico Goianiense26 September 2026
- W2-1Avai20 September 2026
What these results say
- Operario-PR failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Operario-PR scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Operario-PR conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Goias conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Goias had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Operario-PR | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Operario-PR vs Goias
- 11 October 2026Operario-PR 0–2 GoiasSerie B
- 21 June 2026Goias 0–3 Operario-PRSerie B
- 9 August 2025Goias 2–1 Operario-PRSerie B
- 12 April 2025Operario-PR 1–2 GoiasSerie B
- 29 October 2024Goias 3–0 Operario-PRSerie B
- 18 July 2024Operario-PR 2–0 GoiasSerie B
Leading scorers: Operario-PR and Goias
Operario-PR
GoalsAssists
- Boschilia134
- Vinícius Diniz71
Goias
GoalsAssists
- Kadu91
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.