Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing Super League prediction & result
Final score: Qingdao Youth Island 0-4 Dalian Zhixing.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Qingdao Youth Island, 28% draw, 26% Dalian Zhixing — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Qingdao Youth Island at 46% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing
Line-ups
- 16Hao LiG
- 4Elnizar LohmanD
- 5Samir MemisevicD
- 2Bruno VianaD
- 22Gengrui WangD
- 8Xiuwei ZhangM
- 28Chengdong ZhangM
- 10Nelson LuzM
- 21Jingchao MengM
- 11DavidsonM
- 9AzizF
- 20Longhai HeM
- 30Yang ZhanpengM
- 29Jia WeiweiF
- 31Xie ChujunM
- 26Shibo LiuG
- 15Peng WangD
- 32Haifeng DingD
- 3Honglüe ZhaoD
- 36Jie SunD
- 20Weiguo LiuG
- 38Lü ZhuoyiD
- 2Mamadou TraoréD
- 6Yue SongD
- 12Feng BoxuanD
- 40Jintao LiaoM
- 4Isnik AlimiM
- 9Pedro DelgadoM
- 10Nicolae StanciuM
- 7Luo JingM
- 30Frank AcheampongF
- 27Yang MingruiM
- 44Feng JinF
- 23Shan HuangM
- 8Huachen ZhangM
- 28Kangbo SunD
- 1Ge PengG
- 26Zihao HuangG
- 15Jiabao WenD
- 24Jinhao BiD
Form going into Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
- D2-2away to Wuhan Three Towns5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Tianjin Teda29 August 2026
- W2-0Shandong Luneng22 August 2026
- D0-0Chongqing Tongliang Long14 August 2026
Dalian Zhixing
- W2-1Qingdao Jonoon5 September 2026
- D1-1Beijing Guoan28 August 2026
- W1-0away to Chongqing Tongliang Long23 August 2026
- D1-1away to SHANGHAI SIPG19 August 2026
What these results say
- Qingdao Youth Island went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Youth Island failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Qingdao Youth Island scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Dalian Zhixing went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Dalian Zhixing scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Dalian Zhixing conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Qingdao Youth Island | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 38 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Qingdao Youth Island vs Dalian Zhixing
- 11 October 2026Qingdao Youth Island 0–4 Dalian ZhixingSuper League
- 15 May 2026Dalian Zhixing 2–3 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
- 4 October 2025Dalian Zhixing 0–2 Qingdao Youth IslandSuper League
- 20 April 2025Qingdao Youth Island 2–0 Dalian ZhixingSuper League
Leading scorers: Qingdao Youth Island and Dalian Zhixing
Qingdao Youth Island
GoalsAssists
- Davidson94
Dalian Zhixing
GoalsAssists
- F. Acheampong114
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.